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小五 · 2024年05月23日

为什么计算置信区间的时候不用题干表格里给的t-statistic而是用1.65呢

NO.PZ2018101001000014

问题如下:

Harry is a supermarket’s employer and he is interested in using math model to solve some problems. Recently, he wants to know the relationship among commodity demand volume(V), commodity prices(P) and consumer income level(I). The dependent variable is commodity demand volume and the other two is the independent variables. After doing the multiple regression analysis, he gets the following results:

What is the upper confidence interval of consumer income level’s regression coefficient at 0.1 level?

选项:

A.

3.467

B.

8.919

C.

9.798

解释:

B is correct.

考点: Interpret Regression Coefficient, Assumptions and F-test.

解析: Regression Coefficient Confidence Interval的公式是b1^±tcSb1^,这里的b1^等于6.193,Sb1^ 等于1.652。已知n为150,所以自由度(df)=n-k-1=147。当样本容量足够大(大于120)时,在α =0.1的情况下,tc近似于1.65,所以对于本题来说,置信区间上限等于6.193+1.65*1.652=8.919,选择B选项。

为什么计算置信区间的时候不用题干表格里给的t-statistic而是用1.65呢

1 个答案

品职助教_七七 · 2024年05月23日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


confidence interval是一级知识点的直接应用,公式如下:

其中critical value就是本题答案解析中的tc,因为使用的是t检验。这个值应该查t表,但当样本容量n足够大时,t分布的关键值和正态分布的关键值相差无几,故本题在答案解析里直接使用了1.65。

从公式中可以看出,confidence interval中是用不到t-statistic的。(sample statistic是样本估计量的值,放在本题里就是表格中的“coefficient”那项)


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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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