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小权 · 2024年05月22日

Rdc

NO.PZ2018111501000007

问题如下:

If the correlation between foreign-currency asset returns and movements in the exchange rate is increasing, the expected domestic-currency returns will:

选项:

A.

increase

B.

decrease

C.

unchange.

解释:

C is correct.

考点:Currency Risk & Portfolio Return and Risk

解析:correlation的增加会影响domestic-currency risk,而不会影响returns。写出公式就能理解了:

RDC=(1+RFC)(1+RFX)1R_{DC}=(1+R_{FC})(1+R_{FX})-1

σ2(RDC)σ2(RFC)+σ2(RFX)+2σ(RFC)σ(RFX)ρ(RFC,RFX)\sigma^2(R_{DC})\approx\sigma^2(R_{FC})+\sigma^2(R_{FX})+2\sigma(R_{FC})\sigma(R_{FX})\rho(R_{FC},R_{FX})

老师,如果相关性上升,不就意味着两者同涨或者同跌,感觉公式,同涨会使Rdc上升,如果同跌,那负负得正,不也会使Rdc上升

1 个答案

pzqa31 · 2024年05月23日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


这道题主要想考察的是解析中给出的两个公式,来说明相关性上升会对risk产生影响,而不是return。

再具体来说,correlation上升代表两者会同涨,也可能会同跌,预期return不一定会上升,但是预期波动一定会放大。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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