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十六岁的烟火 · 2018年08月15日

问一道题:NO.PZ2016082406000084 [ FRM II ]

为什么expected loss是1682?

如果是因为整个组合是1000000,那为什么WCL是500000?

问题如下图:

选项:

A.

B.

C.

D.

解释:

1 个答案
已采纳答案

妙悟先生品职答疑助手 · 2018年08月15日

要注意期间,题目给的2%是一年的累积违约概率,但是求的Credit VAR是一个月的,换算以后的月违约概率就是0.00168,EL是这么算出来的。至于WCL是500000的原因,请看解析的表格,在99.9%的置信度下,最多一个债券违约,所以WCL是500000

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$1,682 $998,318 $498,318 ANSWER: in the previous question, the monthly fault probability is 0.00168. The following table shows the stribution of cret losses. This gives expecteloss of $1,682, the same before. Next, $500,000 is the Wa minimum 99.9% confinlevel because the totprobability of observing a number equto or lower ththis is greater th99.9%. The cret Vis then $500,000 - $1,682 = $498,318. 为什么WCL是500,000.00?

2021-04-04 17:22 1 · 回答

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2021-02-28 14:33 1 · 回答

A risk analyst is trying to estimate the cret Vfor a portfolio of two risky bon. The cret Vis finethe maximum unexpecteloss a confinlevel of 99.9% over a one-month horizon. Assume theabonis value$500,000 one month forwar anthe one-yecumulative fault probability is 2% for eaof these bon. Whis the best estimate of the cret Vfor this portfolio, assuming no fault correlation anno recovery? $841 $1,682 $998,318 $498,318 ANSWER: in the previous question, the monthly fault probability is 0.00168. The following table shows the stribution of cret losses. This gives expecteloss of $1,682, the same before. Next, $500,000 is the Wa minimum 99.9% confinlevel because the totprobability of observing a number equto or lower ththis is greater th99.9%. The cret Vis then $500,000 - $1,682 = $498,318. 请问,这个组合的EL难道不是固定的,为什么会随着不同的情况变化?因为这两个bon没有fault correlation的,然后直接看成一个100万的bon可以吗?直接求EL

2020-08-30 20:54 1 · 回答

A risk analyst is trying to estimate the cret Vfor a portfolio of two risky bon. The cret Vis finethe maximum unexpecteloss a confinlevel of 99.9% over a one-month horizon. Assume theabonis value$500,000 one month forwar anthe one-yecumulative fault probability is 2% for eaof these bon. Whis the best estimate of the cret Vfor this portfolio, assuming no fault correlation anno recovery? $841 $1,682 $998,318 $498,318 ANSWER: in the previous question, the monthly fault probability is 0.00168. The following table shows the stribution of cret losses. This gives expecteloss of $1,682, the same before. Next, $500,000 is the Wa minimum 99.9% confinlevel because the totprobability of observing a number equto or lower ththis is greater th99.9%. The cret Vis then $500,000 - $1,682 = $498,318. 那么这题为什么不选C答案呢,按照反推法,根据谨慎性的原则,最大的损失不是1M么

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A risk analyst is trying to estimate the cret Vfor a portfolio of two risky bon. The cret Vis finethe maximum unexpecteloss a confinlevel of 99.9% over a one-month horizon. Assume theabonis value$500,000 one month forwar anthe one-yecumulative fault probability is 2% for eaof these bon. Whis the best estimate of the cret Vfor this portfolio, assuming no fault correlation anno recovery? $841 $1,682 $998,318 $498,318 ANSWER: in the previous question, the monthly fault probability is 0.00168. The following table shows the stribution of cret losses. This gives expecteloss of $1,682, the same before. Next, $500,000 is the Wa minimum 99.9% confinlevel because the totprobability of observing a number equto or lower ththis is greater th99.9%. The cret Vis then $500,000 - $1,682 = $498,318. 请问答案中的图表是怎么计算出来的?没有看懂啊

2020-04-28 10:38 1 · 回答