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qygeorge05 · 2024年05月21日

关于第一个选项

NO.PZ2018120301000016

问题如下:


Based on Exhibit 2, relative to Portfolio C, Portfolio B:

选项:

A.

has higher cash flow reinvestment risk.

B.

is a more desirable portfolio for liquidity management.

C.

provides less protection from yield curve shifts and twists.

解释:

Correct Answer: B

B is correct. Portfolio B is a laddered portfolio with maturities spread more or less evenly over the yield curve. A desirable aspect of a laddered portfolio is liquidity management. Because there is always a bond close to redemption, the soon-to-mature bond can provide emergency liquidity needs. Barbell portfolios, such as Portfolio C, have maturities only at the short-term and long-term ends and thus are much less desirable for liquidity management.

老师好!能否解释一下A选项“has higher cash flow reinvestment risk.”该怎么理解。

1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa31 · 2024年05月22日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


发亮_品职助教 · 2019/6/2 18:40:01

这三个组合,都是用来匹配负债的,所以这三个组合的基础数据差不多大。

例如,投资期一致、Macaulay duration差不多。且从表格中发现,三个组合,除了现金流分布不同(Barbell/bullet/Laddered),组合的其他条件差不多。

这样,保证了三个组合其他所有条件近似,只有现金流分布不同,所以Reivestment risk的差异就只来自于现金流分布的差异,于是我们就可以直接套用结论,从现金流分布(Barbell、Bullet、Laddered)来看哪个Reinvestment risk最大。


Portfolio B是一个Laddered portfolio,Portfolio C是一个Barbell Portfolio,且Portfolio B和Portfolio C的Macaulay duration差不多;

那就意味着Porfolio C中1.5年期的债券权重非常大,这样才能保证Portfolio C与Portfolio B的Macaulay duration相近。

因为三个组合都是用来匹配负债的,负债的Macaulay duration等于5.34年,所以认为三个Portfolio的投资期一致,差不多都是5.34年。在投资期一致的情况下,因为Barbell在1.5年就有收到了一大笔现金流,所以需要再投资(5.34-1.5=3.84)年。因此,面临的再投资风险更大。

Babell再投资风险大,是因为早期、收到了大笔现金流需要进行再投资。


再看Portfolio B,最早期的大笔现金流发生在第3年,那只需再投资(5.34-3=2.34)年,且从现金流绝对数额上看,Portfolio B最早期的现金流数额小于Portfolio C(Barbell)的最早期现金流数额,所以无论从再投期的期限,还是从需要进行再投资的金额看,Portfolio C的再投资风险更大,因为需要再投资的金额更大,且再投资时间更长。


总结下,这个可以直接当结论使用了,在条件相似的情况下,Barbell的再投资风险最大(早期现金流最多、大笔现金流发生时间最早)、Laddered次之,Bullet最小。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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