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暖暖的阳光 · 2024年05月09日

bull 是牛市 利率是上升的 , 为什么答案是两年期的利率 下降?

NO.PZ2023091701000172

问题如下:

A fixed-income trader expects a bull flattening of the interest rate term structure, and wants to pursue a strategy that would profit from this movement in rates. The trader decides to achieve this goal by taking positions in 2-year and 10-year bonds. Will the 2-year rate increase or decrease in the trader’s expected scenario, and which of the following sets of trades would be the most likely to generate a profit if the trader’s expectations materialize?

选项:

A.2-year rate Decrease; Short the 2-year and buy the 10-year B.2-year rate Decrease; Buy the 2-year and short the 10-year C.2-year rate Increase; Short the 2-year and buy the 10-year D.2-year rate Increase; Buy the 2-year and short the 10-year

解释:

A is correct. A bull flattening occurs when long-and short-maturity rates both move down, but long-maturity rates move down by more than short-maturity rates. If the trader expects a bull flattening, the trader can buy the 10-year bonds and short the 2-year bonds. If the trader is right, the 10-year bonds will increase in value relative to the 2-year bonds, and the trader will make money.

B, C, and D are incorrect.

bull 是牛市 利率是上升的 , 为什么答案是两年期的利率 下降?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年05月09日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


题目说的是a bull flattening of the interest rate term structure, 意思是利率期限结构会变得平缓,也就是长期利率和短期利率的差值会缩小。


bull flatterning指的是债券价格上涨,对应的是利率都下降(但长期利率下降幅度更大)。所以A选项前半句正确。此外,因为长期利率下降的更多,所以长期债券价格上涨幅度更大,那就应该buy the 10-year bond。A选项后半句也正确。

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