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白泽 · 2024年05月02日

BV应该用哪年的?

NO.PZ2023032701000079

问题如下:

As of February 2007, you are researching Jonash International, a hypothetical company subject to cyclical demand for its services. Jonash shares closed at $57.98 on 2 February 2007. You believe the 2003–2006 period reasonably captures average profitability:

When calculating normalized EPS, we can use on the method of historical average EPS or method of average ROE, the difference of PE calculated by the two methods is:

选项:

A.

11.6

B.

12.5

C.

13.4

解释:

Averaging EPS over the 2003–2006 period, we find that ($2.55 + $2.13 + $0.23 + $1.45)/4 = $1.59. According to the method of historical average EPS, Jonash’s normalized EPS is $1.59. The P/E based on this estimate is $57.98/1.59 = 36.5.

Averaging ROE over the 2003–2006 period, we find that (0.218 + 0.163 + 0.016 + 0.089)/4 = 0.1215. For current BV per share, you would use the estimated value of $19.20 for year-end 2007. According to the method of average ROE, 0.1215 × $19.20 = $2.33 is the normalized EPS. The P/E based on this estimate is $57.98/$2.33 = 24.9.

So the difference is 36.5-24.9=11.6

Normalizing EPS, PEG Ratio,The Harmonic Mean 练习

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No.PZ2023032701000079 (选择题)

来源: 经典题

As of February 2007, you are researching Jonash International, a hypothetical company subject to cyclical demand for its services. Jonash shares closed at $57.98 on 2 February 2007. You believe the 2003–2006 period reasonably captures average profitability:

When calculating normalized EPS, we can use on the method of historical average EPS or method of average ROE, the difference of PE calculated by the two methods is:


这道题其实我觉得算ROE的时候,ROE的平均是12.15 %,然后推算Earning的时候是不是应该用2006的BV是不是更好一点?不过题目也不严谨,没说BV是年初还是年末的概念

2 个答案
已采纳答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年05月02日

同学你好,请看以下讲义截图,按照讲义截图的计算方式的话,本题这样计算是没有问题的

题目说了“2003–2006 period reasonably captures average profitability”所以最近的一个cycle是2003年到2006年的ROE计算平均得到的

这个平均的ROE要乘以的,是现在的BV(而不是这个cycle结束的最后一年的BV),本题给了2007年的BV,且题目第一句就说了“As of February 2007, you are researching Jonash International”所以现在才不过是2007年的2月份,表格里的2007年的BV肯定是这个时刻的,或者至少是2007年年初的,所以应该符合讲义要求的是current BV

白泽 · 2024年05月03日

那如果bv是年末的,也是乘以年末的bv吗?

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年05月03日

同学你好,如果BV是年末的,根据讲义,只要这个BV是current BV,就直接乘就可以了哦——这类题考的就是考生按照定义计算的能力,所以我们严格按照讲义给的定义计算即可

但是助教认为,CFA应该不会出这样BV位于年末的题目的,本题这样应该才是更接近真实的考试题目的

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NO.PZ2023032701000079 问题如下 of February 2007, you are researching Jonash International, a hypotheticcompany subjeto cyclicmanfor its services. Jonash shares close$57.98 on 2 February 2007. You believe the 2003–2006 perioreasonably captures average profitability:When calculating normalizeEPS, we cuse on the methoof historicaverage EPS or methoof average ROE, the fferenof PE calculatethe two metho is: A.11.6 B.12.5 C.13.4 Averaging EPS over the 2003–2006 perio we finth($2.55 + $2.13 + $0.23 + $1.45)/4 = $1.59. Accorng to the methoof historicaverage EPS, Jonash’s normalizeEPS is $1.59. The P/E baseon this estimate is $57.98/1.59 = 36.5.Averaging ROE over the 2003–2006 perio we finth(0.218 + 0.163 + 0.016 + 0.089)/4 = 0.1215. For current per share, you wouluse the estimatevalue of $19.20 for year-en2007. Accorng to the methoof average ROE, 0.1215 × $19.20 = $2.33 is the normalizeEPS. The P/E baseon this estimate is $57.98/$2.33 = 24.9.So the fferenis 36.5-24.9=11.6 答案里面说 you wouluse the estimatevalue of $19.20 for year-en2007这里的07年BV=19.2是07年年末的数,那么乘以roe算出来的不就成了08年的净利润吗?

2024-05-03 12:40 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2023032701000079问题如下 of February 2007, you are researching Jonash International, a hypotheticcompany subjeto cyclicmanfor its services. Jonash shares close$57.98 on 2 February 2007. You believe the 2003–2006 perioreasonably captures average profitability:When calculating normalizeEPS, we cuse on the methoof historicaverage EPS or methoof average ROE, the fferenof PE calculatethe two metho is: A.11.6B.12.5C.13.4 Averaging EPS over the 2003–2006 perio we finth($2.55 + $2.13 + $0.23 + $1.45)/4 = $1.59. Accorng to the methoof historicaverage EPS, Jonash’s normalizeEPS is $1.59. The P/E baseon this estimate is $57.98/1.59 = 36.5.Averaging ROE over the 2003–2006 perio we finth(0.218 + 0.163 + 0.016 + 0.089)/4 = 0.1215. For current per share, you wouluse the estimatevalue of $19.20 for year-en2007. Accorng to the methoof average ROE, 0.1215 × $19.20 = $2.33 is the normalizeEPS. The P/E baseon this estimate is $57.98/$2.33 = 24.9.So the fferenis 36.5-24.9=11.6 这样不是考虑size,更好吗

2024-03-22 21:49 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2023032701000079 问题如下 of February 2007, you are researching Jonash International, a hypotheticcompany subjeto cyclicmanfor its services. Jonash shares close$57.98 on 2 February 2007. You believe the 2003–2006 perioreasonably captures average profitability:When calculating normalizeEPS, we cuse on the methoof historicaverage EPS or methoof average ROE, the fferenof PE calculatethe two metho is: A.11.6 B.12.5 C.13.4 Averaging EPS over the 2003–2006 perio we finth($2.55 + $2.13 + $0.23 + $1.45)/4 = $1.59. Accorng to the methoof historicaverage EPS, Jonash’s normalizeEPS is $1.59. The P/E baseon this estimate is $57.98/1.59 = 36.5.Averaging ROE over the 2003–2006 perio we finth(0.218 + 0.163 + 0.016 + 0.089)/4 = 0.1215. For current per share, you wouluse the estimatevalue of $19.20 for year-en2007. Accorng to the methoof average ROE, 0.1215 × $19.20 = $2.33 is the normalizeEPS. The P/E baseon this estimate is $57.98/$2.33 = 24.9.So the fferenis 36.5-24.9=11.6 为什么不用调和平均数计算?什么情况下用调和平均数计算?

2023-09-21 22:41 1 · 回答