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白泽 · 2024年05月02日

RI模型要求了ROE大于Cost of equity呀,

NO.PZ2023032701000069

问题如下:

Mendosa and Raman have a discussion about other approaches that might be appropriate for valuing PRBI’s stock. They make the following statements:

Statement 1—Raman: Because PRBI’s management is actively seeking opportunities to be acquired, the guideline public company method (GPCM) would be most appropriate. It establishes a value estimate based on pricing multiples derived from the acquisition of control of entire public or private companies. Specifically, it uses a multiple that relates to the sale of entire companies.

Statement 2—Mendosa: We could also value PRBI using the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) model. But in order to support its rapid growth, the company is expected to significantly increase its net borrowing every year for the next three to five years, and during those years, it could have a significant dampening effect on the company’s FCFE and thus a lower value for its equity.

Statement 3—Raman: I agree. The residual income (RI) model, also called the “excess earnings method,” does not have the same weakness as the FCFE approach because residual income is an estimate of the profit of the company after deducting the cost of all capital: debt and equity. Furthermore, it makes no assumptions about future earnings and the justified P/B is directly related to expected future residual income.

In regard to the discussion on other approaches between Mendosa and Raman, which of the following statements that they make is most accurate? Statement:

选项:

A.

1

B.

3

C.

2

解释:

Statement 3 by Raman is most accurate. The residual income model, also called the excess earnings method, does not have the same weakness as the FCFE approach, because it is an estimate of the profit of the company after deducting the cost of all capital: debt and equity. Further, it makes no assumptions about future earnings and dividend growth.

No.PZ2023032701000069 (选择题)

来源: 经典题

Mendosa and Raman have a discussion about other approaches that might be appropriate for valuing PRBI’s stock. They make the following statements:

• Statement 1—Raman: Because PRBI’s management is actively seeking opportunities to be acquired, the guideline public company method (GPCM) would be most appropriate. It establishes a value estimate based on pricing multiples derived from the acquisition of control of entire public or private companies. Specifically, it uses a multiple that relates to the sale of entire companies.

• Statement 2—Mendosa: We could also value PRBI using the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) model. But in order to support its rapid growth, the company is expected to significantly increase its net borrowing every year for the next three to five years, and during those years, it could have a significant dampening effect on the company’s FCFE and thus a lower value for its equity.

• Statement 3—Raman: I agree. The residual income (RI) model, also called the “excess earnings method,” does not have the same weakness as the FCFE approach because residual income is an estimate of the profit of the company after deducting the cost of all capital: debt and equity. Furthermore, it makes no assumptions about future earnings and the justified P/B is directly related to expected future residual income.

In regard to the discussion on other approaches between Mendosa and Raman, which of the following statements that they make is most accurate? Statement:


Statement 3 : RI模型要求了ROE大于Cost of equity呀, it makes no assumptions about future earnings错了吧?

1 个答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年05月02日

同学你好,future earnings是指未来的net income,也就是说,这里认为RI模型没有直接的对未来的公司NI做出预测

首先,运用RI = (ROE-Re)*Bv的公式的话,RI Model就没有对future earnings做出预测,而只是预测了未来的净资产回报率ROE(就像你说的)

其次,RI本质上折现的是未来每一期的RI而非直接折现NI,运用一阶段RI的时候,假设的是RI的增长率而非NI的增长率

另外,在运用多阶段RI的时候也是同理,PVRI最终只和RI的最终增长率或是persistence factor相关,而和NI没有直接关系,这种假设就已经脱离了对NI的假设估计了。

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