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Linda · 2024年05月01日

不太理解这道题

NO.PZ2023040301000194

问题如下:

An analyst gathers the following information about a company (in $ millions):

Forecast assumptions for Year 2:

net sales growth: 10%

(depreciation expense / net PP&E beginning of year) ratio to remain constant

maintenance capital expenditures equal depreciation expense

growth capital expenditure: 5% of net sales

The forecast total capital expenditure for Year 2 is closest to:

选项:

A.

$55 million

B.

$86 million

C.

$95 million

解释:

C is Correct because capital expenditures can be broken down into maintenance capital expenditures necessary to sustain the current business and growth capital expenditures needed to expand the business. Maintenance capital expenditure forecasts are often based on historical depreciation and amortization expenses, usually with a small adjustment upward to account for inflation in capital goods. Growth capital expenditure forecasts are more discretionary and are tied to management's expansion plans and revenue growth. Depreciation and amortization forecasts are based on net PP&E and intangibles on the balance sheet (which increase due to capital expenditures) and their useful lives as assumed by management’s accounting policies, which can be approximated by the ratio of gross fixed assets to depreciation and amortization expenses. Information may also be found in the notes to the financial statements.

Year 1:

(Depreciation expense/net PP&E beginning of year) = 36/480 = 0.075

Year 2:

net sales = 1,000×(1+10%) = 1,100

growth capital expenditure = 5%×1,100 = 55

maintenance capital expenditure = depreciation expense = 530×0.075= 39.75

total capital expenditure = growth capital expenditure + maintenance capital expenditure = 55 + 39.75 = 94.75 95.

可以讲一下吗

1 个答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年05月02日

同学你好,题目要我们预测第二年的公司CAPEX是多少

首先,CAPEX主要有两个作用,一是买新的机器设备用来支持公司的发展,二是维持公司现有机器的正常运行做设备的维护修缮,这两个点就分别对应题目assumption中的最后两个小黑点的内容

最后一个点说公司growth 用的CAPEX是占net sales 的5%,那肯定是第二年的5% ,肯定不能是过去一年sales 的5% ,所以先计算第二年sales——net sales = 1,000×(1+10%) = 1,100然后再计算growth需要的CAPEX = 5%×1,100 = 55

倒数第二个点点说公司的维护修缮CAPEX的金额等于折旧费用,那就要去找第二年的折旧费用是多少。倒数第三个点点说 折旧除以期初net PPE 的这个ratio保持不变。现在知道第二年期初的net PPE 就是第一年年末的net PPE 530 ,那就还缺那个ratio就能求折旧了。因为ratio不变,那就拿第一年的数据来计算ratio = (Depreciation expense/net PP&E beginning of year) = 36/480 = 0.075,然后就可以求维护修缮CAPEX = 第二年折旧 = 530×0.075= 39.75

最后把两块CAPEX相加即可得到本题答案

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