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游游 · 2024年04月27日

如何判断高估低估?

NO.PZ2022123001000156

问题如下:

An analyst observes the benchmark Indian NIFTY 50 stock index trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15. The index’s expected dividend payout ratio in the next year is 50 percent, and the index’s required return is 7.50 percent. If the analyst believes that the NIFTY 50 index dividends will grow at a constant rate of 4.50 percent in the future, which of the following statements is correct?

选项:

A.

The analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as overpriced.

B.

The analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as underpriced.

C.

The analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as fairly priced.

解释:

B is correct. the previous input results in the following inequality: 15 < 0.50/(0.0750−0.045) = 16.67.

The above inequality implies that the analyst should view the NIFTY 50 as priced too low. The fundamental inputs into the equation imply a forward price to earnings ratio of 16.67 rather than 15. An alternative approach to answering the question would be to solve for implied growth using the observed forward price to earnings ratio of 15 and compare this to the analyst’s growth expectations:

15 = 0.50/(0.075− g) .

Solving for g yields a result of 4.1667 percent. Since the analyst expects higher NIFTY 50 dividend growth of 4.50 percent, the index is viewed as underpriced.

此题中forward growth是15,implied growth是16.67,是高估还是低估?说法对吗

1 个答案
已采纳答案

品职助教_七七 · 2024年04月27日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


PE ratio是一种相对价格,可直接理解为price。现在市场上实际的PE是15,而合理的PE算出来应为16.67。市场价格低于理论价格为低估。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!