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luckygrace · 2024年04月15日

discrete和aggregation

NO.PZ2023100701000010

问题如下:

Forecast objects should be:

选项:

A.

based on independent third-party reports.

B.

based on individual discrete items, not aggregations.

C.

disclosed regularly or based on items that are disclosed regularly

解释:

C is correct. Forecast objects should either be disclosed regularly or be directly calculable using what is disclosed regularly. Information that is not disclosed regularly (such as a third-party consultancy’s report) is suitable to inform forecasts but can be problematic for direct use, because forecasts cannot be confirmed in a timely manner. While it may be intuitive to forecast individual discrete items,
such as sales and gross margin by individual product line, if gross margin is disclosed only on a consolidated basis, it will be difficult for analysts to verify their product-line gross margin estimates.

discrete和aggregation考虑那个更好呢?还是说都考虑?

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王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年04月15日

同学你好,请看以下讲义截图蓝色框中的部分,讲义给出的结论是:如果离散的预测不准确,还不如使用aggregations来的好

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