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Pavel Korchagin · 2024年04月12日

company3的unit root不是no吗?为什么还要一阶拆分?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202304050200005003

问题如下:

Which single time-series model would most likely be appropriate to use in predicting the future stock price of Company#3?

选项:

A.

Log-linear trend model

B.

First-differenced AR(2) model

C.

First-differenced log AR(1) model

解释:

As a result of the exponential trend in the time series of stock prices for Company #3, Bake would want to take the natural log of the series and then first-difference it. Because the time series also has serial correlation in the residuals from the trend model, he should use a more complex model, such as an autoregressive (AR) model.

rt

1 个答案

品职助教_七七 · 2024年04月12日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


这道题里的一阶差分不刻意去解决什么问题,只是换了个分析角度,有没有都可以。

根据排除法选出C选项。

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