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luckygrace · 2024年03月05日

C

NO.PZ2023071902000086

问题如下:


Among the following, which one accurately acts as a simultaneous signal of economic activity?

选项:

A.Average duration of unemployment

B.Average weekly hours, manufacturing

C.Employees on non-agricultural payrolls

解释:

Solution
  1. Average duration of unemployment
    Incorrect. The time individuals remain unemployed tends to extend or contract based on the overall economic health. Companies generally delay layoffs until a downturn is apparent and hesitate to hire until an upswing is more certain. This makes the average duration of unemployment a lagging indicator, reflecting past economic trends.

  2. Average weekly hours, manufacturing
    Incorrect. When economic uncertainty arises, firms often modify their workers' hours before making more permanent decisions about layoffs or hiring. As such, changes in average weekly hours in manufacturing can provide early clues about future economic trends, classifying it as a leading indicator.

  3. Employees on non-agricultural payrolls
    Correct. As economic shifts become evident, organizations will adapt their staffing levels in non-agricultural sectors. This mirrors real-time economic performance, making employees on non-agricultural payrolls a coincident indicator, representing current economic conditions.

Understanding Business Cycles

请问c选项是什么意思?为什么是实时指标呢

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2024年03月05日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


请问c选项是什么意思?为什么是实时指标呢

Hello,亲爱的同学~

C选项是指非农就业人员。

非农就业人口衡量指标(非农就业人数指标的含义),是一项衡量非农业人口就业人数少于预期的指标。它被用于衡量劳动力市场状况,衡量劳动力供需状况。

这是美国一个比较重要的经济同步指标。

之所以同步经济,是由美国经济的特点决定的,美国是服务型经济。服务型行业在经济中的占比极大,而服务行业的兴衰就集中体现在服务人员数量的变动。这与中国以工业制造为主的经济特点,是不同的。

非农就业属于同步指标,同学需要记忆这个结论。


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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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