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Weike · 2024年02月20日

futures

NO.PZ2021061002000049

问题如下:

QWR is a financial intermediary active in both futures and forward markets.

Now, QWR acts as a futures broker to help its clients clear and settle their commodity futures margin positions with futures exchanges.

Here is the information about the copper futures market:


Now, one of the QWR clients enters a one-month copper futures contract, and the spot price of the copper is $4 a pound, the risk-free rate is 1.5% and constant. Each contract incurs a storage charge of $10.50 at the end of the month.

Which of the following descriptions of margin accounts is correct?

选项:

A.

If copper futures prices immediately fall below $3.8454 per pound or below $96,135 per contract, the client will receive margin calls.

B.

If copper futures prices immediately fall below $3.6054 per pound or below $90,135 per contract, the client will receive margin.

C.

Since futures are settled daily, we cannot determine the exact futures price at which margin calls are made.

解释:

中文解析:

由表格可知该铜期货合约的初始保证金是10,000.维持保证金是6,000.

因此当保证金水平低于6,000时,会收到追加保证金的通知,即期货合约价格下降的空间为4,000美元,即每磅允许下跌0.16美元(= 4,000/25,000美元)

计算期货合约的价格f0(T)

f0(T) = (S0) (1 + r) T+FV(C) = [(4 x 25000) (1.015 (1/12))]+10.50 =100,135

因此当合约价格低于96,135美元(每份合同100,135美元- 4,000美元= 96,135美元)时,需要追加保证金。

另外,由于每份合同是100,135美元,对应的是每磅4.0054美元。

因此当价格低于3.8454美元(每磅4.0054美元- 0.16美元= 3.8454美元)时,会收到保证金催收电话。

没太看明白公式什么意思

1 个答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2024年02月20日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


表里告诉我们初始保证金(initial margin)是10000,维持保证金是6000. 意思是当保证金水平低于6000时,会立刻收到追加保证金的通知。


表的下面告诉我们spot price of the copper is $4 a pound, 而表里写的Contract size是25000磅,也就是1张铜期货合约对应的铜矿现货价值(S0)=4$ / 磅 × 25000磅 = 100000$。

然后可以计算0时刻的期货价格(future price, F0(T))。 F0(T) =S0 × (1+r)^T + 储存成本(storage cost 10.5$),这里T就是一个月,也就是1/12年,r是无风险利率。所以F0(T) = [100000 × 1.015 ^ (1/12)]+10.50 =100,135。


投资者的保证金=初始保证金+ 账户变动 = 10000 +(X - 100135),这里的X是当前期货价格。当投资者的保证金低于6000时就会触发追加保证金,所以临界值就是保证金等于6000。也就是10000 + (X - 100135) = 6000,对应的X=96135.

当期货价格跌破96135的时候,就会立刻触发追加保证金。

96135 / 25000磅 = 3.8454$/磅,所以对应的每磅的铜价是3.8454$。


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