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Chinazdk · 2024年02月13日

这句解释不理解

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NO.PZ202305230100005408

问题如下:

What impact would a “flight to safety” (i.e., government bond yields falling and credit spreads widening) have on the analytical duration estimate of Bond A?

选项:

A.

Decreased duration

B.

Increased duration

C.

No impact

解释:

C is correct. There would be no impact on the analytical duration estimate. However, an empirical duration estimate would be impacted. A flight to safety would result in an increase in the bond price due to the falling benchmark yield being offset by widening credit spread. This would lead to a lower empirical duration than analytical duration.


请进一步解释下原因吧

2 个答案

pzqa27 · 2024年02月19日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


您说很对,但是题目问的意思其实是credit spreads widening会在YTM下降的时候引起analytical duration怎么变,题目的考点侧重于考察analytical duration 与 empirical duration的对比,而不是考察YTM下降analytical duration的变化。

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pzqa27 · 2024年02月14日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


我们知道公司债的收益率Yc=benchmark的收益率Yb+credit spread.

当经济不好的时候,人们纷纷flight to safey,此时benchmark 收益率降低,但是由于经济不好,公司信用质量变差,所以spread会上升。

因此Yb和spread会抵消一部分,因此这句话的意思是由于Yb降低带来债券价格的上涨被spread上升给抵消了一部分。

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Chinazdk · 2024年02月15日

但是对于analytical分析, benchmark yield 下降, ytm不也下降吗? analytical duration应该变大吧? 不应该相等啊

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