NO.PZ2023061903000009
问题如下：
Q. Current economic statistics indicating little change in services inflation, rising residential building permits, and increasing average duration of unemployment are best interpreted as:
选项：
A.conflicting evidence about the direction of the economy.
B.evidence that a cyclical upturn is expected to occur in the future.
C.evidence that a cyclical downturn is expected to occur in the future.
解释：
B is correct. Rising building permits—a leading indicator—indicate that an upturn is expected to occur or continue. Increasing average duration of unemployment—a lagging indicator—indicates that a downturn has occurred, whereas the lack of any change in services inflation—also a lagging indicator—is neither negative nor positive for the direction of the economy. Taken together, these statistics indicate that a cyclical upturn may be expected to occur.
下一个是expansion，上一个阶段是contraction？对吗
