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Olivia.W🌸 · 2024年02月01日

如何判断economically和significantly?

NO.PZ2022123001000104

问题如下:

An analyst tests the profitability of a trading strategy with the null hypothesis that the average abnormal return before trading costs equals zero. The calculated t-statistic is 2.802, with critical values of ±2.756 at significance level α = 0.01. After considering trading costs, the strategy’s return is near zero. The results are most likely:

选项:

A.statistically but not economically significant B.economically but not statistically significant C.neither statistically nor economically significant

解释:

The hypothesis is a two-tailed formulation. The t-statistic of 2.802 falls outside the critical rejection points of less than −2.756 and greater than 2.756. Therefore, the null hypothesis is rejected; the result is statistically significant. However, despite the statistical results, trying to profit on the strategy is not likely to be economically meaningful because the return is near zero after transaction costs.

如何判断economically和significantly?

2 个答案

品职助教_七七 · 2024年02月08日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


@Olivia.W🌸

是的。

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品职助教_七七 · 2024年02月03日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


statistically significant:统计上的假设检验的结果显著。

economically significant:在实际经济活动中显著有意义。即光是统计上显著还不够,还要看实际操作中扣除了必须的费用后,这样做还是不是有意义。如果仍然值得做,就是economically significant。

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Olivia.W🌸 · 2024年02月04日

如果原假设被reject,就说明它是statisctically significant?

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