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世纪之龙5 · 2024年01月31日

c的n次方和i次方区别在哪里

NO.PZ2018122701000012

问题如下:

Jack has collected a large data set of daily market returns for three emerging markets and he want to compute the VaR. He is concerned about the non-normal skew in the data and is considering non-parametric estimation methods. Which of the following statements about Age-weighted historical simulation approach is most accurate?

选项:

A.

The age-weighted procedure incorporate estimates from GARCH model.

B.

If the decay factor in the model is close to 1, there is persistence within the data set.

C.

When using this approach, the weight assigned on day i is equal to Wi=λi1(1λ)/(1λi)W_i=\lambda^{i-1}(1-\lambda)/(1-\lambda^i)

D.

The number of observation should at least exceed 250.

解释:

B is correct.

考点 Age-weighted historical simulation

解析 If the intensity parameter (i.e., decay factor) is close to 1, there will be persistence (i.e., slow decay) in the estimate. The expression for the weight on day ihasiin the exponent when it should be n. While a large sample size is generally preferred, some of the data may no longer be representative in a large sample.

不是很明白。。。。。

3 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa39 · 2024年01月31日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


这个公式中i代表第i天的数据,n代表有n个observation。c选项的问题在于分母错了,应该是n而不是i。

这道题在section1的Weighted Historic Simulation Approaches: Age-weighted小节里面,可以去听一下完整的推导过程理解公式的含义,或者把这个公式记下来。老师在上课的时候有讲到,考试的时候有可能会像这道题一样给公式变形判断是否正确,也有可能会给数值要求代入计算。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

世纪之龙5 · 2024年02月01日

但是i和n不是相等的吗

pzqa39 · 2024年02月02日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


不客气同学,明白了就好

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加油吧,让我们一起遇见更好的自己!

pzqa39 · 2024年02月01日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


不一样的,i可以理解成数据离得远还是离得近,这个方法本身就是用过去预测未来,w(1)可以理解成过去一天的数据,w(i)可以理解成过去i天的数据,然后再通过λ,为不同时间发生的数据赋予不同的权重,所以叫Age-weighted,所以i代表的是时间。而n代表的是有几个历史数据,是数据的数量。它们不是一个概念。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

世纪之龙5 · 2024年02月02日

哦哦明白了谢谢老师

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NO.PZ2018122701000012 问题如下 Jahcollectea large ta set of ily market returns for three emerging markets anhe want to compute the VaR. He is concerneabout the non-normskew in the ta anis consiring non-parametric estimation metho. Whiof the following statements about Age-weightehistoricsimulation approais most accurate? The age-weighteprocere incorporate estimates from GARmol. If the cfactor in the mol is close to 1, there is persistenwithin the ta set. When using this approach, the weight assigneon y i is equto Wi=λi−1(1−λ)/(1−λi)W_i=\lamb^{i-1}(1-\lamb)/(1-\lamb^i)Wi​=λi−1(1−λ)/(1−λi) The number of observation shoulleast excee250. B is correct. 考点 Age-weightehistoricsimulation 解析 If the intensity parameter (i.e., cfactor) is close to 1, there will persisten(i.e., slow cay) in the estimate. The expression for the weight on y ihasiin the exponent when it shouln. While a large sample size is generally preferre some of the ta mno longer representative in a large sample. 老师,应该是数据越多越好,没有最低最高限制吧?

2023-08-07 19:58 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018122701000012 If the cfactor in the mol is close to 1, there is persistenwithin the ta set. When using this approach, the weight assigneon y i is equto Wi=λi−1(1−λ)/(1−λi)W_i=\lamb^{i-1}(1-\lamb)/(1-\lamb^i)Wi​=λi−1(1−λ)/(1−λi) The number of observation shoulleast excee250. B is correct. 考点 Age-weightehistoricsimulation 解析 If the intensity parameter (i.e., cfactor) is close to 1, there will persisten(i.e., slow cay) in the estimate. The expression for the weight on y ihasiin the exponent when it shouln. While a large sample size is generally preferre some of the ta mno longer representative in a large sample. c为什么错呢呀??

2021-05-10 15:29 1 · 回答

is close to 1, there will persistence 这句话是什么意思呢。A和什么错呢

2021-01-24 00:03 1 · 回答