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沪上小王子 · 2024年01月19日

B国央行最有可能出售外币(从而抽走国内流动性)以限制/避免本币贬值,并购买政府证券(从而提供流动性)

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NO.PZ202212260100003902

问题如下:

(2) Based on Exhibit 1, which country’s central bank is most likely to buy domestic bonds near term to sterilize the impact of money flows on domestic liquidity?

选项:

A.Country A B.Country B C.Country C

解释:

Hot money is flowing out of Country B; thus, Country B’s central bank is the most likely to sell foreign currency (thereby draining domestic liquidity) to limit/avoid depreciation of the domestic currency and buy government securities (thereby providing liquidity) to sterilize the impact on bank reserves and interest rates.

A is incorrect because Country A is not experiencing hot money flows and, therefore, would not need to sterilize the impact of money flows on domestic liquidity.

C is incorrect because hot money is flowing into Country C; thus, Country C’s central bank is most likely to sell government securities to limit the growth of bank reserves and/or maintain a target level of interest rates.

中文解析:

热钱从B国流出;因此,B国央行最有可能出售外币(从而抽走国内流动性)以限制/避免本币贬值,并购买政府证券(从而提供流动性)以冲销对银行储备和利率的影响。

A是不正确的,因为A国没有经历热钱流动,因此不需要冲销货币流动对国内流动性的影响。

C是不正确的,因为热钱正在流入C国;因此,C国央行最有可能出售政府证券,以限制银行储备的增长和/或维持目标利率水平。

这个地方不是很理解,热钱外流,会导致国内本币流动性泛滥,导致本币贬值,这个时候央行不应该发行债券吗,从而将市场上的流动性回收回来吗?

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笛子_品职助教 · 2024年01月19日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


Hello,亲爱的同学~

同学这里要理解“冲销干预”的概念。

冲销干预是指,央行在外汇市场,干预外汇市场走势的同时,在本国市场交易债券,以保持总的货币供应量不变。


在以上知识点基础上,我们再看本题。

本题是说,B国货币要贬值。

因此,央行要干预,不让货币贬值。央行干预外汇的方式是:在外汇市场买入本币。

本币要贬值,央行买入本币,因此央行给了本币一个向上的力量,制止了本币的贬值。

但是央行买入本币,会减少本币的数量。

因此,央行需要在国内市场买入债券,释放本币。

从而,外汇市场减少的本币 = 国内债券市场释放的本币,最终维持本币数量不变。

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