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eee · 2018年06月17日

关于trailing and foward PE



The meeting continues with Kaminski providing some follow-up from the club’s last meeting:

“I have more information on KPK Inc., which we discussed in our last meeting. You may recall that we settled on a discounted cash flow model that we considered appropriate for the stock. I have used it to calculate the justified fundamental P/E. In addition, along with current and forecasted EPS for the next four quarters, I have determined other P/Es for the stock (Exhibit 3). Because the stock is part of the NYSE Consumer Goods Index that Zhang mentioned earlier, I have also included the index P/E. Based on this analysis, I recommend that the club buy KPK shares.”

EXHIBIT 3

VARIOUS P/E MULTIPLES RELATED TO KPK INC. AND ITS INDUSTRY

Trailing P/EForward P/EJustified (Fundamental) P/EConsumer Goods Index P/E
14.613.715.014.8

Q. Which of the following best supports Kaminski’s recommendation for KPK? The justified (fundamental) P/E is greater than the:

  1. trailing P/E.
  2. forward P/E.
  3. index P/E.


此题答案说foward pe不可靠,所以用trailing比较,教材有出处吗,我觉得得看justified PE是leading还是trailing,此题又没有相应说明

1 个答案
已采纳答案

maggie_品职助教 · 2018年06月18日

forwardPE用的是预测数据,那就会有预测误差,而trailingPE用的是公司真实的数据,显而易见,trailingPE更靠谱。请见以下原版书的原文:


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