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秋樣 · 2024年01月10日

CME- term structure

NO.PZ2022122601000020

问题如下:

Perumal then shifts his attention to forecasting US bond return expectations and begins estimating the risk premia for five-year US intermediate-term bonds using the data in Exhibit 2.


Perumal’s estimation of the total risk premium for the five-year US government bonds is closest to:

选项:

A.75 bps

B.295 bps

C.375 bps

解释:

The risk premium for the five-year US government bond is equal to the term premium (five-year vs. one-year US government bond) of 75 bps.

Credit premium and liquidity premium are extraneous information and do not apply.

Expected return = Risk-free rate + Risk premium = 220 + 75 bps = 295 bps, but the question asks about the risk premium only, not the expected return.

中文解析:

五年期美国政府债券的风险溢价等于期限溢价(五年期与一年期)75个基点。

信用溢价和流动性溢价是无关信息,不适用。

预期收益=无风险利率+风险溢价= 220 + 75 bps = 295 bps,但问题只问风险溢价,而不是预期收益。

请问这个total risk premium里不应该有inflation risk吗?

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2024年01月10日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


题目没有单独给出inflation risk的数据就不用单独考虑了。

有时候inflation risk可以包含在term risk中。

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