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Darkblanca · 2023年12月16日

furling不是声称strong growth potential吗

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NO.PZ201809170400000405

问题如下:

Based on the information provided in Exhibits 1 and 2, which manager’s portfolio characteristics is most likely at odds with its declared style?

选项:

A.

Furlings

B.

Asgard

C.

Tokra

解释:

C is the correct answer. Tokra indicates that it emphasizes three metrics: P/B, 12-month price momentum, and return on assets. Although the portfolio consists of securities that have stronger momentum than those of the index on average, and although the ratio of net income to assets is also favorable, the average P/B is somehow higher than that of the index. Although this scenario could normally be explained by an emphasis on specific sectors with a higher P/B than other sectors, the low level of sector deviation tolerated within the strategy weakens that explanation. This should be explored with Tokra’s managers.

A is an incorrect answer. Furlings is a top-down sector rotator with a value orientation within sectors. The lower P/B and P/E and higher net income over assets are consistent with a relative value orientation. Because Furlings can take significant positions in specific sectors, however, there could be other circumstances in which the portfolio would have a higher P/B and/or P/E and or a lower net income /assets than the index if the fund were to emphasize sectors having such characteristics. Yet, this would not necessarily imply that the firm does not favor the most attractive relative valuations within sectors.

B is an incorrect answer. Asgard invests in firms that offer reasonable valuations and above average expected cash flow growth during the next three years. The data, such as P/B and average expected three-year profit growth, are consistent with its declared style. Again, it is not necessarily inconsistent to emphasize these aspects while investing in a portfolio that has a lower dividend yield, slightly higher P/E, and lower price momentum.

它的earning g=11%,比index还低,而且是未来3-5年的forward g,凭什么就说不是对未来g的一个期望?

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笛子_品职助教 · 2023年12月18日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


furling不是声称strong growth potential吗

它的earning g=11%,比index还低,而且是未来3-5年的forward g,凭什么就说不是对未来g的一个期望?


Hello,亲爱的同学~

同学看得非常仔细哦。棒棒的~


Furling确实声称:strong growth potential。

但是Furling投资的公司,却是average EPS growth(3-5 years forward)只有11%,低于index的11.9%。


因此同学认为,Furling 没有做到“strong growth potential”。


不过这里注意:

average EPS growth(3-5 years forward)是指市场一致预期。

strong growth potential是Furling对公司自己的评估。


举例来说:

市场一致预期中国移动的average EPS growth(3-5 years forward)是11%。

由于市场对中国移动的一致预期11%,比市场指数整体的增长预期11.9%要低。

因此,中国移动的市盈率24.7,也比市场指数平均市盈率26.5要低。


但是,Furling通过分析,寻找“strong growth potential”,发现,中国移动的未来增长预测达到20%,市场一致预期给的11%,偏低了。


因此,Furling才能以低于市场平均市盈率的价格,买到一个未来有很高增长潜力的公司。


也就是说,强调strong growth potential,与买入市场一致增长预期,低于平均值的公司,并不矛盾。


总体而言,Furling属于 value orientation 。






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