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Dongying · 2023年12月10日

forward rate or spot rate

Q.

Assume Rivera’s portfolio was perfectly hedged. It is now time to rebalance the portfolio and roll the currency hedge forward one month. The relevant data for rebalancing are provided in Exhibit 1.

Exhibit 1:

Portfolio and Relevant Market Data


Solution

When hedging one month ago, Delgado would have sold USD2,500,000 one month forward against the euro. Now, with the US dollar-denominated portfolio increasing in value to USD2,650,000, a mismatched FX swap is needed to settle the initial expiring forward contract and establish a new hedge given the higher market value of the US dollar-denominated portfolio.

To calculate the net cash flow (in euros) to maintain the desired hedge, the following steps are necessary:

1.     Buy USD2,500,000 at the spot rate. Buying US dollars against the euro means selling euros, which is the base currency in the USD/EUR spot rate. Therefore, the bid side of the market must be used to calculate the outflow in euros. USD2,500,000 / 1.1575 = EUR2,159,827.

2.     Sell USD2,650,000 at the spot rate adjusted for the one-month forward points (all-in forward rate). Selling the US dollar against the euro means buying euros, which is the base currency in the USD/EUR spot rate. Therefore, the offer side of the market must be used to calculate the inflow in euros. All-in forward rate = 1.1576 + (7/10,000) = 1.1583USD2,650,000 / 1.1583 = EUR2,287,836.

C.     Therefore, the net cash flow is equal to EUR2,287,836 – EUR2,159,827 which is equal to EUR128,009.


请问为什么第二步的时候用的是all in forward rate而不是spot rate呢?不应该按照现在的汇率交易求sell USD 2.65mil 所能获得的EUR?



2 个答案

pzqa31 · 2023年12月17日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


在到期时间交割结算。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

pzqa31 · 2023年12月11日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


这道题目是这样,我们可以简单分一下时间点,0时刻签订了一份远期合约,我们叫做老的远期合约吧,合约期限是1个月,那么在1个月的时候这个老合约到期;此时我们在它马上到期的时候平仓重开一份新的远期合约,就叫做新合约吧,这个新合约也是1个月的期限,因此是在2个月末的时候才发生交割。


现在站在1这个时刻,老合约如果不平仓就要发生交割了,但是我们不能让它交割,所以需要在它马上到期的时候平仓,再新开一份1个月的远期合约,所以这里用的forward rate.

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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