NO.PZ2022123002000019
问题如下:
Testa acquired a Spanish
packaging company. The Spanish investment involved Testa acquiring 200,000
shares of a packaging company at EUR90 per share. He decided to fully hedge the
position with a six month USD/EUR forward contract. Details of the euro hedge
at initiation and three months later are provided in Exhibit 1. Three months
after the purchase, the shares had increased to EUR100 each, but Testa, believing
that a still higher price was likely, maintained the position. He also
indicated that he did not anticipate having to roll the hedge forward at its
maturity.
Exhibit 1 2009 Spot and Forward USD/EUR Quotes (Bid-Offer) and Annualized
Libor Rates
If
the 2009 forward hedge had been rolled forward at its maturity, using Exhibit
1, the roll yield would most likely have been:
选项:
A.negative, but the currency change made it less
negative
positive, but the currency change reduced some of this
effect
negative, and the currency change made it even more
negative
解释:
Correct Answer: C
In implementing
the hedge, euros (the base currency) must be sold against the US dollar. The
base currency is selling at a discount and thus would “roll up the curve” as
the contract approaches maturity. Settlement of the forward contract would entail
buying euros at a higher price—that is, selling low and buying high—resulting
in a negative roll yield. Since the euro has appreciated by the time the hedge
needs to be extended, this tends to further increase the cost of euros to settle
the original contract and makes the roll yield even more negative—that is, sell
low, buy even higher.
这个提问明明是forward在6个月到期的时候去roll,为什么答案在解释三个月的时候去roll?