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常晓磊 · 2023年12月03日

选择用哪个折现率不是属于model范畴么,跟用pbo还是abo是一个道理吧

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NO.PZ202209060200004704

问题如下:

The risk that Silver describes to Shrewsbury in hedging the liabilities is most likely:

选项:

A.model risk.

B.spread risk.

C.liquidity risk.

解释:

Solution

B is correct. Silver is referring to spread risk in his discussion with Shrewsbury regarding risks in hedging DB plan liabilities. The liabilities are estimated—that is, calculation of the PBO—using high-quality corporate bonds. The typically wider spreads of lower-quality bonds may underperform the spreads of higher-quality bonds in a market sell-off. Conversely, hedging the liabilities with swaps may not provide enough of a spread risk hedge relative to using corporate bonds such that if spreads tighten, high-quality corporate bonds (used to discount liabilities) may outperform swaps. Model risk refers to making incorrect assumptions regarding future liabilities or approximations being inaccurate. Liquidity risk is associated with exhausting available collateral funds to meet margin calls on derivative positions or to pay benefits.

A is incorrect because model risk refers to making incorrect assumptions regarding future liabilities or approximations being inaccurate.

C is incorrect because liquidity risk is associated with exhausting available collateral funds to meet margin calls on derivative positions or to pay benefits.

选择用哪个折现率不是属于model范畴么,跟用pbo还是abo是一个道理吧

1 个答案

pzqa31 · 2023年12月04日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


spread risk:

 

在免疫策略中,资产与负债的性质不同,比如asset 是国债,liab是公司发行的债券,企业债有spread,国债无spread duration,那么面对市场基准收益率变化,国债与企业债折现率变化不一致,进而价格变动不一致的,这是spread risk。

 

model risk:

 

所用的模型不准确带来的风险,主要系模型使用的一系列假设导致的,比如计算PBO的过程用到一系列假设,有关于工资增长率的,有关于折现率的等等,这些假设与未来实际情况不符,可能会导致免疫策略失败,造成的风险就是model risk。


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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

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