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露露66 · 2023年12月03日

老师 这道题可以写buy futures on inr/usd with 10m usd吗

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201601050100001203

问题如下:

Recommend the trading strategy C&M should implement. Justify your response.

解释:

Given C&M’s research conclusion and the IPS constraints, the currency team should under-hedge Bhatt’s portfolio by selling the US dollar forward against the Indian rupee in a forward contract (or contracts) at no less than a 75% hedge ratio of the portfolio’s USD10,000,000 market value. By under-hedging the portfolio relative to the “neutral” (100% hedge ratio) benchmark, the team seeks to add incremental value on the basis of its view that the US dollar will appreciate against the Indian rupee while maintaining compliance with the IPS.

Since the Indian rupee is assumed to depreciate against the US dollar, a 100% hedge ratio would largely eliminate any alpha opportunity. However, a hedge ratio greater than 75% but less than 100% (as dictated by the plus or minus 25% versus neutral IPS constraint) provides the opportunity to capture currency return in the expected US dollar appreciation against the Indian rupee.

中文解析:

本题中本来担心美元贬值的,应该完全hedge

但现在预期美元升值,是对我们有利的,因此就可以降低hedge比例的情况了,而可以降低到的最低点就是在100%hedge的基础上下降25%,就是75%

老师 这道题可以写buy futures on inr/usd with 10m usd吗

1 个答案

pzqa31 · 2023年12月04日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


最好不要,虽然在外汇市场一切都是相对的,但是我们要去hedge某种外币下跌损失时,其实还是用short forward on这种外币,没必要非得拧着来。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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