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小熊猫 · 2023年10月31日

futures的优点不体现在价格上吗?

NO.PZ2023091802000051

问题如下:

A risk manager is deciding between buying a futures contract on an exchange and buying a forward contract directly from a counterparty on the same underlying asset. Both contracts would have the same maturity and delivery specifications. The manager finds that the futures price is less than the forward price. Assuming no arbitrage opportunity exists, what single factor acting alone would be a realistic explanation for this price difference?

选项:

A.

The futures contract is more liquid and easier to trade.

B.

The forward contract counterparty is more likely to default.

C.

The asset is strongly negatively correlated with interest rates.

D.

The transaction costs on the futures contract are less than on the forward contract.

解释:

When an asset is strongly negatively correlated with interest rates, futures prices will tend to be slightly lower than forward prices. When the underlying asset increases in price, the immediate gain arising from the daily futures settlement will tend to be invested at a lower than average rate of interest due to the negative correlation. In this case futures would sell for slightly less than forward contracts, which are not affected by interest rate movements in the same manner since forward contracts do not have a daily settlement feature.

The other three choices would all most likely result in the futures price being higher than the forward price.

futures因为更标准,对手方违约风险小,所以流动性好,会不会更贵?

1 个答案
已采纳答案

李坏_品职助教 · 2023年10月31日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


题目后面说的“The manager finds that the futures price is less than the forward price”,所以我们需要找到原因。


一般情况来说的确是futures 高于forward price,但这道题给出的条件是基金经理看到了期货价格低于远期价格,让我们去解释为什么?

只有C选项是有可能使得futures低于foward price。

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