NO.PZ201904080100008003
问题如下:
Paul Peter is analyzing the performance of the stock ABC over the past 4 years.
Peter estimates a linear regression using excess monthly returns on Stock ABC as the dependent variable and excess monthly returns on the S&P 500 index (exS&P) as the independent variable. The data are expressed in decimal terms (e.g., 0.05, not 5%).
exABCt = b0 + b1 (exS&Pt) +εt
Results from that analysis are presented in the following figures.
3. Peter would like to test the following hypothesis: H0: B1 ≤ 1 vs. HA: B1> 1 at the 5 % significance level. The calculated t-statistic and the appropriate conclusion are:
Give the t-critical values as follow:
the t-critical values are all two-tails
选项:
解释:
B is correct.
考点:Hypothesis Test in Linear Regression
解析:因为是48个月的数据,所以n=48。本题应该去查单尾95%的df=48-2=46的数据,即双尾90%的df=46的数据。 the critical one-tailed 95% t-value = the critical two-tailed 90% t-value= 1.679
斜率项的t检验值=(1.5863-1)/0.0744=7.88>1.679。所以应该拒绝原假设。
本题自由度为啥不是47,而是46呢。N=48,假设是关于b1的