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lcrcp3 · 2023年10月11日

如题

NO.PZ2023040601000074

问题如下:

Lloyd Redfield, a portfolio manager on the foreign bond team, asks Simmons to review the current business cycle and yield curve in Australia. The Australian economy entered a recession approximately 6 months ago, and the Australian Central Bank has been reducing its policy rate. Simmons expects the Australian economy to gradually improve over the next 6–12 months and the government bond curve to change from its currently flat state to an upward sloping state. Simmons believes the future upward slope of the yield curve will be influenced by investor expectations for declining policy rates, increasing inflation premiums for longer dated bonds, and bond risk premiums that are negatively related to consumption hedging benefits.

Which one of Simmons’ factors is most likely accurate with regard to investors influencing the future shape of the yield curve?

选项:

A.Inflation premiums

B.

Bond risk premiums

C.

Policy rate expectations

解释:

A is correct. Simmons’ forecast is supported by increasing inflation premiums for longer dated bonds. Many factors can influence an upward sloping yield curve, including higher risk premiums as maturities increase.

B is incorrect. An upward sloping curve would be associated with bond risk premiums that are positively, not negatively, related to the consumption hedging benefits of government bonds.

C is incorrect. Investor expectations for declining policy rates are more likely to result in an inverted yield curve, not an upward sloping curve.

消费对冲收益是个什么东西?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2023年10月14日

经济下滑时消费会下降,此时如果投资的资产有收益,则可以用来消费,对冲消费的下滑。

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NO.PZ2023040601000074 问题如下 LloyReiel a portfolio manager on the foreign bonteam, asks Simmons to review the current business cycle anyielcurve in AustraliThe Australieconomy enterea recession approximately 6 months ago, anthe AustraliCentrBank hbeen recing its polirate. Simmons expects the Australieconomy to graally improve over the next 6–12 months anthe government boncurve to change from its currently flstate to upwarsloping state. Simmons believes the future upwarslope of the yielcurve will influenceinvestor expectations for clining polirates, increasing inflation premiums for longer tebon, anbonrisk premiums thare negatively relateto consumption heing benefits.Whione of Simmons’ factors is most likely accurate with regarto investors influencing the future shape of the yielcurve? A.Inflation premiums B.Bonrisk premiums C.Polirate expectations A is correct. Simmons’ forecast is supporteincreasing inflation premiums for longer tebon. Many factors cinfluenupwarsloping yielcurve, inclung higher risk premiums maturities increase.B is incorrect. upwarsloping curve woulassociatewith bonrisk premiums thare positively, not negatively, relateto the consumption heing benefits of government bon.C is incorrect. Investor expectations for clining polirates are more likely to result in inverteyielcurve, not upwarsloping curve. Investor expectations for clining polirates are more likely to result in inverteyielcurve, not upwarsloping curve.投资者预期利率下降,一般短期利率下降大于长期利率的下降,因此更可能导致收益率曲线向上倾斜啊,怎么会是倒挂呢?麻烦一下,谢谢!

2024-04-24 17:38 1 · 回答