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lcrcp3 · 2023年09月27日

如题

NO.PZ2023032701000052

问题如下:

Singh and Ho next analyze Colanari. Last year, Colanari had FCFF of €140 million. Singh instructs Ho to perform a FCFF sensitivity analysis of Colanari’s firm value using the three sets of estimates presented in Exhibit 3. In her analysis, Ho assumes a tax rate of 35% and a stable capital structure of 30% debt and 70% equity.

Exhibit 3:. Sensitivity Analysis for Colanari Valuation

Based on Exhibit 3, Ho’s FCFF sensitivity analysis should conclude that Colanari’s value is most sensitive to the:

选项:

A.

FCFF growth rate

B.

before-tax cost of debt

C.

required rate of return for equity

解释:

Colanari’s valuation is most sensitive to the cost of equity (re) because the range of estimated values is larger than the valuation ranges estimated from the sensitivity analysis of both the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) and the before-tax cost of debt (rd).

WACC = [wd × rd(1 – Tax rate)] + (we × re).

Firm value = FCFF0(1 + g)/(WACC – g).

Cost of equity sensitivity

Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate and the before-tax cost of debt and using the low estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 10.0%, the valuation estimate is

WACC = [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.10) = 7.96%.

Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0796 – 0.046) = €4,364.18 million.

Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate and the before-tax cost of debt and using the high estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 12.0%, the valuation estimate is

WACC = [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.120) = 9.36%.

Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0936 – 0.046) = €3,079.38 million.

Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest and lowest estimates of the cost of equity is €1,284.80 million.

FCFF growth rate sensitivity

Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity and the before-tax cost of debt and using the low estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 4.2%, the valuation estimate is

WACC = [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%.

Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.042)/(0.0866 – 0.042) = €3,274.16 million.

Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity and the before-tax cost of debt and using the high estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 5.0%, the valuation estimate is

WACC = [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%.

Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.05)/(0.0866 – 0.05) = €4,021.34 million.

Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest and lowest estimates of the FCFF growth rate is €747.18 million.

Before-tax cost of debt sensitivity

Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate and the cost of equity and using the low estimate for the beforetax cost of debt (rd) of 3.9%, the valuation estimate is

WACC = [(0.30)(0.039)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.46%.

Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0846 – 0.046) = €3,793.29 million.

Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate and the cost of equity and using the high estimate for the before-tax cost of debt (rd) of 5.9%, the valuation estimate is

WACC = [(0.30)(0.059)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.85%.

Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0885 – 0.046) = €3,445.24 million.

Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest and lowest estimates of the before-tax cost of debt is €348.05 million.

前面那道题直接相减比大小,我的上一个问题你要按顺序答应该能知道我说的是哪个,这题怎么又不直接相减比大小了,整出来这么复杂的东西?这都什么玩意儿啊?!再说了sensitivity上课哪讲了?这个点不考是吧

1 个答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2023年09月27日

同学你好,这道题和上面你问的题完全是一样的逻辑啊,就是按住其他两个变量不变,然后看这个选中的变量的high estimate和low estimate下计算的value的差值

然后重复这个过程计算另外两个变量的value差值

最后比较哪个差值是最大的,就说明value对哪个变量最敏感。

这个点既然原版书出了2道题目,就是可能考到的,建议同学还是自己做两遍熟悉一下这类题型,至于考试中,如果碰到这类计算量特别大的题目,建议同学可以先放一放标记一下,直接做别的题目,等别的题目都做完,有时间了再来做这个题目,这样会比较定心

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NO.PZ2023032701000052问题如下 Singh anHo next analyze Colanari. Last year, Colanari hFCFF of €140 million. Singh instructs Ho to perform a FCFF sensitivity analysis of Colanari’s firm value using the three sets of estimates presentein Exhibit 3. In her analysis, Ho assumes a trate of 35% ana stable capitstructure of 30% an70% equity.Exhibit 3:. Sensitivity Analysis for Colanari ValuationBaseon Exhibit 3, Ho’s FCFF sensitivity analysis shoulconclu thColanari’s value is most sensitive to the: A.FCFF growth rateB.before-tcost of btC.requirerate of return for equity Colanari’s valuation is most sensitive to the cost of equity (re) because the range of estimatevalues is larger ththe valuation ranges estimatefrom the sensitivity analysis of both the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) anthe before-tcost of (r.WA= [w× r1 – Trate)] + (we × re).Firm value = FCFF0(1 + g)/(WA– g).Cost of equity sensitivityUsing the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 10.0%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.10) = 7.96%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0796 – 0.046) = €4,364.18 million.Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 12.0%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.120) = 9.36%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0936 – 0.046) = €3,079.38 million.Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the cost of equity is €1,284.80 million.FCFF growth rate sensitivityUsing the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 4.2%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.042)/(0.0866 – 0.042) = €3,274.16 million.Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 5.0%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.05)/(0.0866 – 0.05) = €4,021.34 million.Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the FCFF growth rate is €747.18 million.Before-tcost of sensitivityUsing the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the low estimate for the beforetcost of (r of 3.9%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.039)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.46%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0846 – 0.046) = €3,793.29 million.Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the high estimate for the before-tcost of (r of 5.9%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.059)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.85%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0885 – 0.046) = €3,445.24 million.Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the before-tcost of is €348.05 million. 此题可以看到cost of bt和cost of equity的变动幅度都在基准值1%左右。但由于cost structure中equity占70%,所以敏感程度会更被放大,选出答案。不知道这样的逻辑,不计算,是不是正确的?

2024-11-18 01:08 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2023032701000052 问题如下 Singh anHo next analyze Colanari. Last year, Colanari hFCFF of €140 million. Singh instructs Ho to perform a FCFF sensitivity analysis of Colanari’s firm value using the three sets of estimates presentein Exhibit 3. In her analysis, Ho assumes a trate of 35% ana stable capitstructure of 30% an70% equity.Exhibit 3:. Sensitivity Analysis for Colanari ValuationBaseon Exhibit 3, Ho’s FCFF sensitivity analysis shoulconclu thColanari’s value is most sensitive to the: A.FCFF growth rate B.before-tcost of C.requirerate of return for equity Colanari’s valuation is most sensitive to the cost of equity (re) because the range of estimatevalues is larger ththe valuation ranges estimatefrom the sensitivity analysis of both the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) anthe before-tcost of (r.WA= [w× r1 – Trate)] + (we × re).Firm value = FCFF0(1 + g)/(WA– g).Cost of equity sensitivityUsing the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 10.0%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.10) = 7.96%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0796 – 0.046) = €4,364.18 million.Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the cost of equity (re) of 12.0%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.120) = 9.36%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0936 – 0.046) = €3,079.38 million.Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the cost of equity is €1,284.80 million.FCFF growth rate sensitivityUsing the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the low estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 4.2%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.042)/(0.0866 – 0.042) = €3,274.16 million.Using the base case estimates for the cost of equity anthe before-tcost of anusing the high estimate for the FCFF growth rate (GFCFF) of 5.0%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.049)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.66%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.05)/(0.0866 – 0.05) = €4,021.34 million.Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the FCFF growth rate is €747.18 million.Before-tcost of sensitivityUsing the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the low estimate for the beforetcost of (r of 3.9%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.039)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.46%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0846 – 0.046) = €3,793.29 million.Using the base case estimates for the FCFF growth rate anthe cost of equity anusing the high estimate for the before-tcost of (r of 5.9%, the valuation estimate isWA= [(0.30)(0.059)(1 – 0.35)] + (0.70)(0.11) = 8.85%.Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.046)/(0.0885 – 0.046) = €3,445.24 million.Therefore, the range in valuation estimates from using the highest anlowest estimates of the before-tcost of is €348.05 million. 比如这个,Firm value = 140 million(1 + 0.042)/(0.0866 – 0.042) = €3,274.16 million.我算的就是3270.85,不知道是不是小数点的缘故?

2024-08-11 10:59 1 · 回答

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2024-05-06 20:30 1 · 回答