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骑车打伞不太稳 · 2023年09月19日

这句话不太理解

NO.PZ2023032701000069

问题如下:

Mendosa and Raman have a discussion about other approaches that might be appropriate for valuing PRBI’s stock. They make the following statements:

Statement 1—Raman: Because PRBI’s management is actively seeking opportunities to be acquired, the guideline public company method (GPCM) would be most appropriate. It establishes a value estimate based on pricing multiples derived from the acquisition of control of entire public or private companies. Specifically, it uses a multiple that relates to the sale of entire companies.

Statement 2—Mendosa: We could also value PRBI using the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) model. But in order to support its rapid growth, the company is expected to significantly increase its net borrowing every year for the next three to five years, and during those years, it could have a significant dampening effect on the company’s FCFE and thus a lower value for its equity.

Statement 3—Raman: I agree. The residual income (RI) model, also called the “excess earnings method,” does not have the same weakness as the FCFE approach because residual income is an estimate of the profit of the company after deducting the cost of all capital: debt and equity. Furthermore, it makes no assumptions about future earnings and the justified P/B is directly related to expected future residual income.

In regard to the discussion on other approaches between Mendosa and Raman, which of the following statements that they make is most accurate? Statement:

选项:

A.

1

B.

3

C.

2

解释:

Statement 3 by Raman is most accurate. The residual income model, also called the excess earnings method, does not have the same weakness as the FCFE approach, because it is an estimate of the profit of the company after deducting the cost of all capital: debt and equity. Further, it makes no assumptions about future earnings and dividend growth.

Furthermore, it makes no assumptions about future earnings and the justified P/B is directly related to expected future residual income.


RI Model对future earnings没有做假设,出题人在这里说的assumption具体是指什么?

RI Model如果用一阶段、二阶段模型的话,肯定会对未来的RI(Earning)进行假设的,比如clean surplus relation,没太理解出题人的意思

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已采纳答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2023年09月20日

同学你好,运用RI = (ROE-Re)*Bv的公式的话,RI Model就没有对future earnings做出预测,而只是预测了未来的净资产回报率ROE哦

其次,RI本质上折现的是未来每一期的RI而非直接折现NI,运用一阶段RI的时候,假设的是RI的增长率而非NI的增长率

在运用多阶段RI的时候也是同理,PVRI最终只和RI的最终增长率或是persistence factor相关,而和NI没有直接关系,这种假设就已经脱离了对NI的假设估计了。

骑车打伞不太稳 · 2023年09月20日

换言之,这里出题人说的假设assumption,也只能理解为和NI没有“直接关系”,对吧? 就是说,RI模型关注的是RI、而不是NI,虽说追根究底的话,RI是可以和NI硬扯上关系,但我感觉没必要太纠结。 老师您看这样理解对吗?

王园圆_品职助教 · 2024年04月22日

同学你好,你可以持有自己的观点认为RI和NI有关系,但是题目的角度同样是没有错的。

在一阶段模型下,增长率 g本身是RI的增长率假设,其实根本和背后的NI如何增长没有直接关系;而多阶段模型计算PVRI的时候也是同理,所有的增长不增长,persistence factor是大是小都是针对RI本身提出的,这些假设根本就没有想过背后的NI会怎么影响RI

在考试中,我们必须把自己放进出题人的角度里,读懂出题人想要表达的意思到底是什么,才能做对题目。毕竟我们的最终目的都是通过考试。

同学如果可以坚持自己的思考同时理解出题人想法,肯定是最棒的状态哦

王园圆_品职助教 · 2023年09月20日

是的哦同学,你的理解非常正确呢!

台风来了 · 2024年04月22日

RI和NI有关系,且非常密切,怎么能说没有直接关系那?这个题目太文字游戏了。及RI模型的估值公式里,V = B0 + B0*(ROE-RE)/(RE-G),还有一个恒定的增长率g存在,自然也就包含了对公司增长的各个变量的假设了。

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