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明明要加油 · 2023年09月17日

请问这道题题干问的什么意思?

NO.PZ2015121810000042

问题如下:

Risk-averse investors demanding a large equity risk premium are most likely expecting their future consumption outcomes and equity returns to be:

选项:

A.

uncorrelated.

B.

positively correlated.

C.

negatively correlated.

解释:

B is correct.

If investors demand high equity risk premiums, they are likely expecting their future consumption and equity returns to be positively correlated. The positive correlation indicates that equities will exhibit poor hedging properties, as equity returns will be high (e.g., pay off) during "good times" and will be low (e.g., not pay off) during "bad times". In other words, the covariance between risk-averse investors’ inter-temporal rates of substitution and the expected future prices of equities is highly negative, resulting in a positive and large equity risk premium. This is the case because, in good times, when equity returns are high, the marginal value of consumption is low. Similarly, in bad times, when equity returns are low, the marginal value of consumption is high. Holding all else constant, the larger the magnitude of the negative covariance term, the larger the risk premium.

考点: equity risk premium & consumption outcomes

解析:问的是股票收益与实体经济的相关性,两者是正相关的,因为实体经济变好,股票收益率增加。正因为两者正相关,所以在经济下滑时,股票不是很好的对冲经济下滑的工具,所以要使风险厌恶的投资者投资股票,就必须给他们更高的风险补偿。

题干没读明白,

另外future consumption outcomes 这个是啥意思,是未来消费的意思吗?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2023年09月18日

同学你好,

1)答案解析中,已经给出了题目的描述。如对解析中仍有不明确的地方,可就该点继续提问。

2)future consumption outcomes指的是未来的消费水平。如果经济下滑,就会使得消费水平下降。


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