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弓 · 2023年08月30日

原来的既有资金不用考虑在内吗?

NO.PZ2019012201000048

问题如下:

After determining Winthrop’s objectives and constraints, the CAD147 million portfolio’s new strategic policy is to target long-term market returns while being fully invested at all times. Tong recommends quarterly rebalancing, currency hedging, and a composite benchmark composed of equity and fixed-income indexes. Currently the USD is worth CAD1.2930, and this exchange rate is expected to remain stable during the next month. Exhibit 2 presents the strategic asset allocation and benchmark weights.

In one month, Winthrop will receive a performance bonus of USD5,750,000. He believes that the US equity market is likely to increase during this timeframe. To take advantage of Winthrop’s market outlook, he instructs Tong to immediately initiate an equity transaction using the S&P 500 futures contract with a current price of 2,464.29 while respecting the policy weights in Exhibit 2. The S&P 500 futures contract multiplier is 250, and the S&P 500 E-mini multiplier is 50.

In preparation for receipt of the performance bonus, Tong should immediately:

选项:

A.

buy two US E-mini equity futures contracts

B.

sell nine US E-mini equity futures contracts

C.

buy seven US E-mini equity futures contracts

解释:

The amount of the performance bonus that will be received in one month (USD5,750,000) needs to be invested passively based upon the strategic allocation recommended by Tong. Using the strategic allocation of the portfolio, 15% (USD862,500.00) should be allocated to US equity exposure using the S&P 500 E-mini contract, which trades in US dollars. Because the futures price is 2,464.29 and the S&P 500 E-mini multiplier is 50, the contract unit value is USD123,214.50 (2,464.29 × 50).

The correct number of futures contracts is (5,750,000.00 × 0.15)/123,214.50 = 7.00.

Therefore, Tong will buy seven S&P 500 E-mini futures contracts.

原来就有the CAD147 million portfolio,这部分资金已经分了15%给US equity。

现在新进来一笔钱,只能投15%给US equity,这个我明白。

不明白的是,在考虑exposure to US equity的时候,为什么不把原资金CAD147 million portfolio的15% exposure也考虑进去?

老资金和新资金一起在US equity上涨预期中享受红利嘛,应该long更多份数的futures才是。

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年08月31日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


我们通常认为炒期货是为了赚钱。

但是在CFA里,炒future不是为了赚钱,是为了对冲风险。

如果我们从对冲风险这个角度思考,就可以理解了。


结合本题:

之所以要买期货,是因为未来才会有奖金到账,但是在奖金到账前,预期指数要涨,由于投资者不想让未来的奖金,错过现在指数的上涨。因此才会买future。这是对冲指数上涨风险,踏空风险也是风险。


至于现在的CAD147 million portfolio的15% exposure,这部分已经持有股票了,如果预期上涨,这部分就会有收益,不用担心会错过指数的上涨。


----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

弓 · 2023年08月31日

看了你的回答,我才知道这个题目是什么意思! “奖金还没到账,不想在奖金到账前错过目前的上涨机会”这个解读太关键了

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