NO.PZ202212280100004702
问题如下：
B. Construct the overall goals- based asset allocation for the Armstrongs
given their three goals and Abbott’s suggestion for investing any excess
capital. Show your calculations. （原版书）
选项：
解释：
• The module that should be selected for each goal is the one that offers the highest return given the time horizon and required probability of success.
• Approximately 16.4%, 12.7%, 50.4%, and 20.5% should be invested in Modules A, B, C, and D, respectively.
The appropriate goals- based allocation for the Armstrongs is as follows:
For Goal 1, which has a time horizon of five years and a required probability of success of 85%, Module C should be chosen because its 4.4% expected return is higher than the expected returns of all the other modules. The present value of Goal 1 is calculated as follows:
N = 5, FV = –5,000,000, I/Y = 4.4%; CPT PV = $4,031,508 (or $4.03 million)
So, approximately 50.4% of the total assets of $8 million (= $4.03 million/$8.00 million) should be allocated to Module C.
For Goal 2, which has a time horizon of 10 years and a required probability of success of 99%, Module B should be chosen because its 2.2% expected return is higher than the expected returns of all the other modules. The present value of Goal 2 is calculated as follows:
PV = $1,013,670 (or $1.01 million)
So, approximately 12.7% of the total assets of $8 million (= $1.01 million/$8.00 million) should be allocated to Module B.
For Goal 3, which has a time horizon of 25 years and a required probability of success of 75%, Module D should be chosen because its 7.5% expected return is higher than the expected returns of all the other modules. The present value of Goal 3 is calculated as follows:
N = 25, FV = –10,000,000, I/Y = 7.5%; CPT PV = $1,639,791 (or $1.64 million)
So, approximately 20.5% of the total assets of $8 million (= $1.64 million/$8.00 million) should be allocated to Module D.
Finally, the surplus of $1,315,032 (= $8,000,000 – $4,031,508 – $1,013,670 – $1,639,791), representing 16.4% (= $1.32 million/$8.00 million), should be invested in Module A following Abbott’s suggestion.
goal2 计算有问题啊，答案算的时候，分母为什么没有调inflation 啊？
看下我做的对吗？
还有就是那个负利率折现，会不会有什么问题啊？
ation?只在现金流调整？
