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hyi725 · 2023年08月21日

意思是risk和return都没有 因为这样的基金不存在吗?

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NO.PZ202206210100000305

问题如下:

Sabonete Case Scenario

Sabonete, S.A., is a multi-national consumer products company headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal, with annual revenue of approximately €2 billion. Over the past several years, the company’s growth strategy has centered on expanding market share in emerging markets. Over half of revenues are from emerging markets, and the remainder are from developed European economies. Oni Falana serves as the chief investment officer of Sabonete’s defined benefit pension plan (SPP).

Falana has engaged an outside consultant, Isabel Horvath, for assistance with asset allocation. Falana describes to Horvath the company’s key objectives with respect to the SPP:

  • reach fully funded (100%) status in five years, at which point the liabilities will be fully hedged,

  • minimize fluctuations in expected year-to-year required contributions, and

  • minimize the administrative and investment costs associated with managing the fund.

Falana provides Horvath with the following key facts and assumptions regarding Sabonete and the SPP:

  • The fund is closed to new employees, but existing employees continue to accrue benefits under the original terms.

  • The fund is 90% funded (€5 billion in assets and an accrued benefit obligation of €5.55 billion).

  • A €75 million contribution will be made to the fund at the end of this quarter. Future contributions are likely to be substantially smaller.

  • The average participant is 45 years old, and employee turnover has been low.

  • The salary growth rate is 3.2%

  • The liability discount rate, currently 3.5%, is benchmarked to 10-year AA corporate bonds.

  • The risk-free rate is currently 3.0%, and short-term interest rates are expected to remain stable.

  • The current asset allocation and other statistics (expected return, volatility, and correlation with global equities) of each asset class are indicated in Exhibit 1.

Exhibit 1 SPP Current Asset Allocation and Other Statistics by Asset Class


Horvath starts by preparing an economic balance sheet for the SPP and makes the following notes:

  • · Emerging market equities have a 10% weight in the global market portfolio. However, given the firm’s familiarity with and the opportunities they perceive in emerging markets, the SPP has historically been over-weighted (25%) in this asset class.

  • · 60% of company revenue is from sales in emerging markets, of which half is attributable to sales in Africa. The revenue growth rate for Sabonete’s African business is high but very volatile. The firm’s revenues and profitability are quite sensitive to emerging markets.

  • · The firm has significant investments in African real estate. It recently acquired several large parcels of land in Africa for €200 million and is planning to make a major investment in new manufacturing facilities to boost margins.

Based on these factors and the information from Exhibit 1, Horvath presents the current asset allocation of the plan along with two other options for consideration (see Exhibit 2).

Exhibit 2

Current and Proposed Asset Allocation Options


Recee Radell, an analyst in SPP’s pension office, makes the following statements regarding Option 1:


Horvath states, “Option 1 provides a 95% probability of meeting the goal of reaching fully funded status in five years, but interim contributions are likely to be quite variable. Option 2 is likely to result in a more stable contribution rate but with a lower probability of meeting the funding goal.”

Falana plans to recommend Option 2, believing that the greater certainty of meeting the required year-to-year contributions is the more important objective. She asks Radell to recommend a rebalancing policy for Option 2. He proposes the ranges shown in Exhibit 3 and provides an estimate of the related transaction costs.

Exhibit 3

Rebalancing Ranges for Option 2



Radell justifies his recommendation on the basis of the following statements:

  • A wide rebalancing range for global fixed income is appropriate because of its low volatility, low transaction costs, and low correlation with other asset classes in the portfolio.

  • The allocation for private equity is challenging because a low-cost passive investment vehicle does not exist and modeling with a private equity index captures only the return aspects of private equity without an appropriate representation of risk.

Falana discusses the recommended asset allocation with the Pension Committee. A new committee member, James D’Alessandro, states that his preference would be Option 1 because the best pension funds have adopted the endowment model of asset allocation, which has a higher allocation to alternative investments.

Question


Radell’s statement about the portfolio allocation of private equity in Exhibit 3 is most likely:

选项:

A.correct. B.incorrect in regard to a low-cost passive investment vehicle. C.incorrect in regard to modeling risk and return with a private equity index.

解释:

Solution

C is correct. The statement is incorrect in regard to the risk and return aspects of a private equity index. Private equity indexes do not capture the risk and return attributes of private equity accurately. In addition, owing to the illiquid nature of the constituents, these indexes do not accurately measure their true volatility.

A is incorrect. The statement is incorrect in regard to the risk and return aspects of private equity indexes, which capture neither the risk nor the return attributes of private equity accurately.

B is incorrect. The statement is correct in regard to low-cost passive investment vehicles not being available, which would allow investors to closely track the aggregate performance of private equity and other less liquid asset classes.

错在哪里呢

2 个答案
已采纳答案

lynn_品职助教 · 2023年08月22日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


1、low-cost passive investment vehicles not being available, which would allow investors to closely track the aggregate performance of private equity and other less liquid asset classes.

流动性差的资产缺少被广泛接受的指数。由于流动性差的资产很难计算准确的市值,如果指数以资产市值为权重,那么这个衡量流动性差的资产的指数就很难计算。即使存在流动性差的资产的指数,基金经理也很难通过被动投资进行追踪,因为流动性差的资产交易成本太高。

 

这个结论记一下,在记忆时可以以房地产为例进行记忆,很好理解。

 

2、Modeling with a private equity index captures only the return aspects of private equity without an appropriate representation of risk.是错误的。

private equity index 既不能很好的捕捉真实的PE return,也不能很好的衡量真实的PE risk。因为PE的信息并不要求公开,而披露出来的也只是业绩好的PE,风险和收益都没有可代表性。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

hyi725 · 2023年08月22日

那我问的这句话c错了是因为 risk和return都没capture 是这意思吗?

lynn_品职助教 · 2023年08月23日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


那我问的这句话c错了是因为 risk和return都没capture 是这意思吗?



是的。

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就算太阳没有迎着我们而来,我们正在朝着它而去,加油!

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