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台风来了 · 2023年08月06日

5% level 不是对应1.96吗?

NO.PZ2023040601000028

问题如下:

Later that day, Woolridge receives an e-mail from Alexander asking her to estimate the dollar VaR at the 5% level for the firm’s developing market equity fund. Woolridge estimates VaR using the parametric method (assuming normal distribution) with the following inputs:


Using the inputs in Exhibit 1, Woolridge’s estimate of VaR is most likely closest to:

选项:

A.

$6.5 million.

B.

$18.9 million.

C.

$10.5 million.

解释:

Step 1 Multiply the portfolio standard deviation by 1.65

0.013 × 1.65 = 0.0215

Step 2 Subtract the answer obtained in Step 1 from the expected return

0.0004 – 0.0215 = –0.0211

Step 3 Because VaR is expressed as a positive number, change the sign of step 2

Change –0.0211 to 0.0211

Step 4 Multiply the result in Step 3 by the value of the portfolio

$500,000,000 × 0.0211 = $10,525,000

5% level 不是对应1.96吗?

1 个答案

星星_品职助教 · 2023年08月11日

同学你好,

单尾5%,双尾10%对应1.65

单尾2.5%,双尾5%对应1.96。

VaR都是单尾情况,“VaR at the 5% level”就是单尾5%。