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好好学习向前进 · 2023年08月05日

关于li的state2

NO.PZ2019011002000011

问题如下:

Li and Wang are two junior credit analysts in a wealth management firm. During a meeting with their supervisor, they made the following statements about the term structure of credit spread:

Li’ statement 1: A credit curve shows the spread over a benchmark security for an issuer for outstanding fixed-income securities with shorter to longer maturities.

Li’ statement 2: Flat credit spread curves imply a relatively stable expectation of default over time, while an upward-sloping credit curve implies that investors seek greater compensation for assuming issuer default over longer periods.

Wang agrees with Li’s statements, and Wang adds:

Wang’s statement 1: Securities with lower credit quality face greater sensitivity to the credit cycle.

Wang’s statement 2: High-yield issuers only face an upward-sloping credit term structure.

According to the information above, which of the following is correct?

选项:

A.

Li’ statement 2 is incorrect.

B.

Wang’s statement 1 is incorrect.

C.

Wang’s statement 2 is incorrect.

解释:

C is correct.

考点:Credit curve的理解。

解析:

Wang的Statement 2是错误的,其他的Statements都是正确的,且为讲义总结结论。对于Wang的Statement 2,High-yield issuer因为一些特殊的原因有时候也会面临Downward的credit spread curve,例如在公司的杠杆收购后,投资者预期公司新的股东、管理层会为公司带来更好的经营结果,于是长期的Credit spread可以是较低的。

不是一般好公司,曲线是平坦或斜向上的么,为什么会假设长期违约呢?

1 个答案

pzqa015 · 2023年08月07日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


 Flat credit spread curves imply a relatively stable expectation of default over time, while an upward-sloping credit curve implies that investors seek greater compensation for assuming issuer default over longer periods.

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这句话的意思是如果credit spread curve是平的,意味着长期与短期的credit spread是相同的,也就是短期违约和长期违约的补偿一样的,所以,stable expectation of default;如果spread curver是向上倾斜的,意味着长期要给与更多的补偿,也就意味着投资者认为长期违约的风险更大。

所以,这句话是正确的。不是假设长期会违约,是因为长期违约风险更大。

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