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开泰-王飞 · 2023年06月26日

这题c国热钱涌入也说明不是一个好的情况,这个答案是不是相比较经常账户盈余比热钱涌入相对来说比较优,所以才选答案的?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202105270100000505

问题如下:

Based on Bader’s expectations for current account secular trends as shown in Exhibit 1, Bader should reallocate capital, all else being equal, from:

选项:

A.Country A to Country C. B.Country B to Country A. C.Country C to Country A.

解释:

A is correct.

Bader should reallocate capital from Country A, which is expected to have a secularly rising current account deficit, to Country C, which is expected to have a secularly rising current account surplus. A rising current account deficit will tend to put upward pressure on real required returns and downward pressure on asset prices, whereas a rising current account surplus (or narrowing deficit) will put downward pressure on real required returns and upward pressure on asset prices. Analysts should consider reallocation of portfolio assets from countries with secularly rising current account deficits to those with secularly rising current account surpluses (or narrowing deficits).

巴德尔应该将资本从A国(预计经常账户赤字将长期上升)重新配置到C国(预计经常账户盈余将长期上升)。不断上升的经常账户赤字往往会给实际所需回报带来上行压力,给资产价格带来下行压力,而不断上升的经常账户盈余(或赤字缩小)则会给实际所需回报带来下行压力,给资产价格带来上行压力。分析师应考虑将投资组合资产从经常账户赤字长期上升的国家重新配置到经常账户盈余长期上升(或赤字不断缩小)的国家。


如题。

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2023年06月27日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:



因为题目说依据,current account secular trends来判断

而热钱涌入,一般是和资本账户有关,和经常账户没关系。所以这里其实暂时是不需要考虑热钱流入的。

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