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fansen · 2023年05月06日

扩张的货币政策长期会导致通胀,短期导致利率下降

NO.PZ2018091901000052

问题如下:

Neshie Wakuluk is an investment strategist. Exhibit 1 summarizes Wakuluk’s predictions:

Wakuluk decides to focus on Country Y. Wakuluk makes the following observations:

Observation 1 Monetary policy has been persistently loose for Country Y, while fiscal policies have been persistently tight.

Based on Observation 1, fiscal and monetary policies in Country Y will most likely lead to:

选项:

A.

low nominal rates.

B.

high nominal rates.

C.

either high or low nominal rates.

解释:

C is correct.

Monetary policy has been persistently loose for Country Y, while fiscal policies have been persistently tight. With this combination of persistently loose and tight policies, the impact could lead to higher or lower nominal rates (typically labeled as mid-nominal rates).

解析:

Y国的货币政策持续宽松(通胀上升),财政政策持续紧缩(真实利率下降)。由于持续的宽松和紧缩政策(货币和财政政策并不一致),其影响可能导致名义利率上升或下降(通常被称为中间名义利率)。

因此只有C选项正确。

在这道题中为什么是看长期而不是短期呢,为什么不是宽松的货币政策导致利率下降,紧缩的财政同样导致实际利率下降呢,进而名义利率下降

1 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年05月06日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


在这道题中为什么是看长期而不是短期呢,为什么不是宽松的货币政策导致利率下降,紧缩的财政同样导致实际利率下降呢,进而名义利率下降


严谨的来说,这道题应该加上Long -run。如果是短期,宽松的货币政策是会带来名义利率下降的。但是从长期看,宽松货币政策只会带来通胀。


这道题对应的是教材上知识点,考的财政货币的政策组合。宽松货币 + 紧缩财政,会有什么结果。在CFA 三级CME这门课中,融合货币和财政政策的知识点,只讲到了长期影响。


所以这道题就默认了是长期,这是不严谨的。但是可以做。


遇到这类题目是存在一定难度的。因为首先同学需要揣测一下出题人意图,涉及到什么知识点,然后用对应知识点来解题。

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