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四喜 · 2023年04月24日

关于长期盈利

NO.PZ2018103102000072

问题如下:

Which of the following statements is incorrect?

Statement 1: A dividend discount model is applicable to stable, mature, dividend paying companies.

Statement 2: The free cash flow valuation model is an appropriate measure if a company is viewed as an acquisition target.

Statement 3: The dividend discount model may be more related to long-run profitability of the firm as compared to the free cash flow model.

选项:

A.

Statement 1.

B.

Statement 2.

C.

Statement 3.

解释:

C is correct.

考点:Appropriateness & Summary of Valuation Methods

解析:选项C说反了,相对于分红而言,自由现金流与公司长期盈利能力更为相关。选项B是正确的,因为对于并购后取得实际控制的投资者来说,自由现金流模型比红利模型更加适合。

解析说的长期盈利是指g吗?意思是说因为ddm没有考虑g的因素,而ggm和fcf的估值有关于g的假设,所以更能反映长期利润水平吗?

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已采纳答案

王园圆_品职助教 · 2023年04月24日

不是的。这是跟现实情况相关的

现实生活中,公司由于为了维持股东的支持,会特意维持一定的分红比例和分红增长率,从而造成企业的净利润增长和分红的增长出现相偏离的情况

而自由现金流由于不受公司的分红政策影响,所以会更真实的反映公司长期的盈利情况和经营状况,所以相比DDM,FCF是更不容易受操纵的一个估值指标

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