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Zunniyaki · 2023年01月18日

高于预期的inflation不会对real estate产生不利影响么?

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NO.PZ202206070100000302

问题如下:

When considering the proposed weights for the developed markets portfolio, the most appropriate adjustment for Standish to make is to reduce the asset weighting in:

选项:

A.Chile. B.Switzerland. C.the United States.

解释:

Solution

B is correct. With above-average inflation, Chilean real estate is expected to outperform. Below-average inflation would likely cause US equities to outperform but have a neutral effect on Swiss bonds. Therefore, Standish should reduce the weight in Swiss bonds relative to the other two assets.

A is incorrect: With above-average inflation, Chilean real estate is expected to outperform. Below-average inflation would likely cause US equities to outperform but have a neutral effect on Swiss bonds. Therefore, Standish should reduce the weight in Swiss bonds relative to the other two assets.

C is incorrect. With above-average inflation, Chilean real estate is expected to outperform. Below-average inflation would likely cause US equities to outperform but have a neutral effect on Swiss bonds. Therefore, Standish should reduce the weight in Swiss bonds relative to the other two assets.

题目考察的通胀/通缩对于不同大类资产的影响。由于通货膨胀率高于平均水平,智利房地产市场的表现将会胜出。美国预期范围内的通胀不会影响美国股市,但瑞士高于预期范围的通胀应会对瑞士债券产生负面影响。因此,相对于其他两种资产,投资者应该减少瑞士债券的比重。

A是不正确的,因为在高于平均水平的通胀情况下,智利房地产的表现预计将优于其他国家,因此投资者在投资组合中的资产权重应该增加。

C也是错误的,因为如果美国的通胀在预期范围内,所以没有理由修改持有的数量。

请问高于预期的inflation不会对real estate产生不利影响么?比如租金下降等等,这个是在哪个知识点,能把对应知识点讲义发下么?谢谢!

1 个答案

源_品职助教 · 2023年01月18日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


如果通胀不厉害,那么租金其实就考虑到了预期通胀,折现率其实也考虑到了。那么房屋的价值就不会有变化。

但是通胀大于预期通胀了,租金其实会随着通胀上涨而上涨,并且这种上涨会大于折现率的上涨。所以房子价值是上涨的,是抗通胀的。

这里可以参考讲义p68,不客气


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2022-11-11 11:02 1 · 回答