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vivianlsq · 2023年01月07日

怎么知道不是根据Exhibit 2作答呢?

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201809170400000403

问题如下:

Which manager is most likely to get caught in a value trap?

选项:

A.

Furlings

B.

Asgard

C.

Tokra

解释:

C is the correct answer. A value trap occurs when a stock that appears to have an attractive valuation because of a low P/E and/or P/B multiple (or other relevant value proxies) appears cheap only because of its worsening growth prospects. Although a pitfall such as value trap is more common in fundamental investing, a quantitative process that relies on historical information and does not integrate future expectations about cash flows or profitability may be unable to detect a value trap.

A is an incorrect answer. Although Furlings is a top-down manager, its sector portfolios are built through investing in a small number of high-conviction securities after its analysts have dissected the financial statements and analyzed the competitive landscape and growth prospects. Managers at Furlings are more likely than managers at Tokra to be aware of the significant deteriorating prospects of a security they are considering for investment.

B is an incorrect answer. One of Asgard’s investment criteria is identifying firms that have good potential cash flow growth over the next three years. The firm has access to database and support tools, allowing its analysts to evaluate many potential growth metrics. Managers at Asgard are more likely than managers at Tokra to be aware of the significant deteriorating prospects of a security they are considering for investment.

从Exhibit 2 中可以看出,Furling的P/E P/B都很低,好像是value股,但其实dividend/price也很低(低于index),是不是也可以说明有value trap


1 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年01月08日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


从Exhibit 2 中可以看出,Furling的P/E P/B都很低,好像是value股,但其实dividend/price也很低(低于index),是不是也可以说明有value trap

fg


估值低并不等同于value trap

value trap的含义是只看现在估值低就去买,不看未来的盈利预期。

比如某公司市盈率10倍,同行业均值20倍,于是买了这只股。但是第2年这家公司的盈利大幅下降了50%,这家公司就和同行业均值估值相同了,这就是value trap。


所以如果我们在买入低估值股票的同时,还会对这家公司将来的盈利进行预期,那么就不容易掉进价值陷阱。

Furling是对盈利进行预期的,是看未来的。



Furling会考虑拥有强劲的增长潜力的公司。一家拥有强劲增长潜力的公司是不会掉进价值陷阱的。

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