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dognmnm · 2022年12月05日

市场表现好我也多交易

NO.PZ2022052301000006

问题如下:

Over the next week, Owen and Yang are scheduled to meet with Fillman Associates, Philly’s largest institutional client. Owen mentions that Fillman is more sophisticated than Philly’s typical client. To prepare for the meeting Yang reviews several of Fillman’s annual due diligence forms completed by Owen. One question in particular catches her attention: it asked how the firm’s equity portfolios performed during the 2005–2007 residential property boom and how the equity turnover rates varied from previous years when the markets were more efficient. In part, the response read, “During the residential property boom of 2005–2007 equity trading activity was significantly higher than previous years when the markets were more efficient. Our trading expertise allowed us to consistently harvest profits.”

What behavioral bias is most likely indicated by Philly’s equity turnover rates during the 2005–2007 residential boom?

选项:

A.

Herding

B.

Overconfidence

C.

Recency effect

解释:

Philly’s increased trading activity is indicative of overconfidence. In bubbles investors often exhibit symptoms of overconfidence; overtrading, under-estimation of risks, failure to diversify, and rejection of contradictory information. With overconfidence, investors are more active and trading volume increases, thus lowering their expected profits. Overconfidence and excessive trading are linked to confirmation bias and self-attribution bias as well as hindsight bias and the illusion of knowledge.

这里说市场牛市, 那我也跟着多交易, 这样不是herding吗?

1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2022年12月06日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


不选 A 是因为,虽然羊群效应也可以滋长市场泡沫,但是 P 公司的答复中,并没有特别强调,我们交易量增加,是因为看到其他同业也在买,因为他们买,所以我们买

因为题干没有提到这点,所以不选 A

咱们分析选项,一定要仅基于题干背景中的句子哈,如果题干背景没有涉及的话,是不能选择的

完整的解题思路,也请参考:https://class.pzacademy.com/qa/105603

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