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chiara9009 · 2022年11月19日

解析中以到期价格为par,往前倒算4年算出在第五年卖出的价格,这里没问题。想请老师帮我看一下,我从债券起始日正着算债券价格,为什么不对?

NO.PZ2016031001000112

问题如下:

An investor purchases a nine-year, 7% annual coupon payment bond at a price equal to par value. After the bond is purchased and before the first coupon is received, interest rates increase to 8%. The investor sells the bond after five years. Assume that interest rates remain unchanged at 8% over the five-year holding period.

Assuming that all coupons are reinvested over the holding period, the investor’s five-year horizon yield is closest to:

选项:

A.

5.66%.

B.

6.62%.

C.

7.12%.

解释:

B is correct.

The investor’s five-year horizon yield is closest to 6.62%. After five years, the sale price of the bond is 96.69 and the future value of reinvested cash flows at 8% is 41.0662 per 100 of par value. The total return is 137.76 (= 41.07 + 96.69), resulting in a realized five-year horizon yield of 6.62%:

100=137.76(1+r)5100=\frac{137.76}{{(1+r)}^5}

r = 0.0662

41.0662=7 + 7*1.08 + 7*1.08^2 + 7*1.08^3 + 7*1.08^4

96.6879=7/1.08 + 7/1.08^2 + 7/1.08^3 + 107/1.08^4

考点:Horizon Yield

解析:由题干可知,一个九年期的债券持有五年。现在要我们计算五年的Horizon Yield。

首先求出5年后卖出债券时所有的Coupon + Coupon Reinvestment,将现金流复利到第五年末,得到41.07。然后求出5年后卖出时的债券价格,要算5年后卖出债券的价格,实际上是将债券剩余4年的现金流折现到第五年末。于是,N=4,PMT=7,I/Y=8,FV=100,得到 PV = -96.69,所以5年后债券的卖出价格是96.69。

将以上两个部分相加总:得到持有期总收益为137.76。

计算年化收益率:100*(1+r)^5=137.76,求出r = 6.62%,故选项B正确。

以下是我计算第五年sell price的思路,想请老师帮忙看一下为什么不对?

PV=-100, I/Y=8, PMT=7,n=5

CPT FV=105.87


1 个答案

吴昊_品职助教 · 2022年11月20日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


咱们有一个大原则:算任何时间的债券价格,都是未来现金流往前折现求和的结果。而不是现在的现金流往后复利的过程。

所以只能用解析中的已知FV求PV,即:N=4,PMT=7,I/Y=8,FV=100,得到 PV = -96.69。


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