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颖 · 2022年11月18日

这道题不用区分是bull steepening 还是bear吗?分析结果会完全相反

NO.PZ2021120102000006

问题如下:

An active fund trader seeks to capitalize on an expected steepening of the current upward-sloping yield curve using option-based fixed-income instruments.

Which of the following portfolio positioning strategies best positions her to gain if her interest rate view is realized?

选项:

A.

Sell a 30-year receiver swaption and a 2-year bond put option.

B.

Purchase a 30-year receiver swaption and a 2-year bond put option.

C.

Purchase a 30-year payer swaption and a 2-year bond call option.

解释:

C is correct.

A steepening of the yield curve involves an increase in the slope, or the difference between long-term and short-term yields-to-maturity. An optimal portfolio positioning strategy is one which combines a short duration exposure to long-term bonds and a long duration exposure to short-term bonds.

Portfolio C involves the right (but not the obligation) to purchase a 2-year bond, which will increase in value as short-term yields fall with the right to pay-fixed on a 30-year swap, which increases in value if long-term yields rise. Portfolio A involves the sale of two options. Although they will expire unexercised in a steeper curve environment, the investor’s return is limited to the two option premia. Portfolio B is the opposite of Portfolio C, positioning the investor for a flattening of the yield curve.

这道题不用区分是bull steepening 还是bear吗?分析结果会完全相反

3 个答案

pzqa015 · 2023年05月06日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


yield curve strategy都是是long/short 策略,不是long only或short only策略,所以,bull steepen时不可同时long长期和短期。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

pzqa015 · 2022年12月24日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


duration neutral时,bear steepen与bull steepen都是Long短期,short长期。

如果坚信利率下降,也就是bull steepen,那么可以更激进一些,long更多短期,short少长期,来增加portfolio duration。

如果坚信利率上涨,也就是bear steepen,那么也可以更激进一些,long更少短期,short更多长期,来降低portfolio duration。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

005 · 2023年05月05日

请问不同期限是否一定要long short不同?比如bull steepen时是否可以考虑同时long长期和短期,这样收益比long短期 short长期如何?

pzqa015 · 2022年11月19日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


无论是bull还是bear,分析结果是一样的。

如果预期收益率曲线bear steepen,则短期上涨少,长期上涨多,我们应该long 短期,short 长期;

如果预期收益率曲线bull steepen,则短期下降多,长期下降少,我们应该long 短期,short长期。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

X_MH · 2022年12月22日

但是知识框架图129页写的:bear steepener 是short duration 而 bull steepener 是long duration。 请问到底是哪样呢

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