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开泰-王飞 · 2022年11月06日

这题的考点?

NO.PZ2021120102000009

问题如下:

An active investor enters a duration-neutral yield curve flattening trade that combines 2-year and 10-year Treasury positions. Under which of the following yield curve scenarios would you expect the investor to realize the greatest portfolio gain?

选项:

A.

Bear steepening

B.

bull flattening

C.

Yield curve inversion

解释:

C is correct.

A duration-neutral flattening trade involves a short 2-year Bond position and a long 10-year bond position, which have a matched duration or portfolio duration of zero. This portfolio will realize a gain if the slope of the yield curvethat is, the difference between short-term and long-term yieldsdeclines. Yield curve inversion is an extreme version of flattening in which the spread between long-term and short-term yields-to-maturity falls below zero.

The bear steepening in A involves an unchanged 2-year yield-to-maturity with a rise in the 10-year yield-to-maturity, causing a portfolio loss. The bull flattening in B combines a constant 2-year yield-to-maturity with lower 10-year rates, resulting in a gain on the 10-year bond position and an unchanged 2-year bond position.

告诉一个duration nuetrual 和flatten 的yield curve ,这个duration nuetral放在这里有什么意义?

1 个答案

pzqa015 · 2022年11月07日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


flatten yield curve是收益率曲线形状的预期变化。

duration neutral市值portfolio的BPV保持不变。

主动管理是基于对收益率曲线的预期,调整不同期限债券的仓位,在不占用额外资金,也不空仓的情况下,尽可能获得更高的收益。

本题收益率曲线flatten,我们以bear flatten为例,短期利率上涨的多,长期利率上涨的少,那么相对于长期利率,短期利率是上涨的,或者说相对于短期利率,长期利率是下降的,所以,应该short 短期债,long 长期债,并且让两个头寸变化带来的BPV是相等的。从而实现在现有条件下,交易曲线利率变动获利。

现在问什么情况下,投资者获利最高,显然,收益率曲线flatten到一定程度后变成inverted,也就是短期利率上涨,长期利率下降,此时,short短期债,long长期债的利润最大。


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