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🧸 · 2022年10月15日

我选的A 被判错

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ202208100100000402

问题如下:

Which of Testa’s reasons for the future course of the USD/EUR exchange rate in 2009 is most consistent with HNW’s assessment?

选项:

A.Reason 1 B.Reason 2 C.Reason 3

解释:

Solution

A is correct.

HNW’s assessment was that the euro was likely to appreciate against the US dollar within the next six months. Reason 1, higher real rates in euro-based countries, is consistent with an appreciation of the euro. Higher euro rates will attract “foreign” investors and drive up demand for the euro as they acquire those investments.

B is incorrect. Reason 2, the potential default of several euro-based countries from their excessive debt loads, would result in a lower foreign risk premium (i.e., the US dollar would be less risky) and should lead to a depreciation of the euro.

C is incorrect. Reason 3, a decline in the US trade deficit (i.e., net exports), means that for the United States, imports decreased relative to exports, resulting in lower demand for the euro, and it should weaken relative to the US dollar.

中文解析:

目前的预测是欧元相比于美元会升值。问三个原因中哪一个是支持这个预测的。

原因1:欧元的实际利率上升会吸引外资流入,增加对欧元的需求,从而使得欧元升值。

原因2:如果几个以欧元为基础的国家可能会因其过度的债务负担而违约,这将导致欧元的吸引力下降,从而使得欧元贬值。

原因3:美国贸易赤字(即净出口)的下降,意味着对美国来说,进口相对于出口下降,导致对欧元的需求下降,欧元相对于美元应该走弱。

我选的A 被判错

被显示:您的回答A, 正确答案是: B

3 个答案
已采纳答案

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年10月17日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


同学你好

同学的答案,选A是对的哈。

解析中的表述是没有问题哒。

感谢同学的反馈,题库有点问题,已反馈和修改~

实在抱歉,祝同学学习顺利!

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年12月14日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


@18147243134,同学你好

我理解同学的意思哈,这句话的意思是:

几个以欧元为基础的国家可能会因为过多的债务而违约,那如果违约的话,IMF和欧洲央行也会对其采取强有力的支持措施

但如果深究起来这句话表达的意思其实是前面先有了贬值的行为,之后才会得到支持然后欧元才会升值。所以这个升值是在先贬值的基础上的。而题干说预测欧元在接下来的6个月会升值,它其实就是简单的会预测升值,并不是先贬值之后再升值。

那这个选项的确是有迷惑性,但第一个原因导致欧元升值是更加明显的。

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努力的时光都是限量版,加油!

18147243134 · 2022年12月14日

the potential default of several euro-based countries from their excessive debt loads would lead to strong support measures from the IMF and the European Central Bank,这个选项的意思是潜在违约高的欧元区国家将被强有力的支持,这样将提振欧元,使得欧元升值啊。

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