NO.PZ2021071301000016
问题如下:
Which of the following indicators best predicts a turning point in the economy?
选项:
A.The Industrial Production IndexB.The average bank prime lending rate C.Average weekly hours, manufacturing
解释:
C is correct.
Turning points in leading economic indicators usually precede turning points in the overall economy. Average hours worked per week, manufacturing is a leading economic indicator. The industrial production index is a consistent economic indicator, while the average prime lending rate of banks is a lagging one.
领先经济指标的拐点通常先于整体经济的拐点。平均每周工时,制造业是一个领先的经济指标。产业生产指数是一个同步的经济指标,而银行优惠贷款平均利率是一个滞后的经济指标。
单位劳动力成本是滞后指标:经济刚开始下行的时候,企业不会进行降薪和裁员,会继续维持之前的薪资水平和员工数量。只有经济下行一段时间后,企业才会牺牲公司运营的稳定,进行降薪和裁员。(这是练习题答案的内容,我同意)
但是,既然在经济下行一段时间后才会裁员,那这时候大家才会去申请失业保险,所以失业保险的领取也是滞后于经济下行的,所以应该是lagging而不是leading啊~
请老师指正,谢谢。