1.标记部分如何翻译？直接翻译即可。
2.联系了哪个知识点，没看懂要表达什么。
3.这段的核心思想是什么？
Additional information may contribute to the cognitive bias of representativeness,
in which analysts judge the probability of a forecast being correct by considering how
much the outcome resembles overall available data (Kahneman, Slovic, and Tversky
1982 and more recently, Shefrin 2007). Typically, this simplification combines probabilities
incorrectly. Additional information or detail may appear to conform to the
overall scenario being forecast, even if it is largely irrelevant, and so add to confidence
in the forecast. The availability bias is a cognitive bias that involves individuals giving
undue weight to more accessible, readily recalled information. Availability and
representativeness can each encourage overreaction to rare events.
