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石头鱼170 · 2018年04月10日

问一道题:NO.PZ201511190100000406 第6小题 [ CFA III ]

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

问题如下图:

选项:

A.

B.

C.

老师,请问这个题,是如何体现了c这个bias的呢?
4 个答案
已采纳答案

Shimin_CPA税法主讲、CFA教研 · 2018年04月14日

请不要过于纠结答案,理解每一个选项的考点,这个题目是有问题的。

石头鱼170 · 2018年04月15日

好滴 谢谢

Shimin_CPA税法主讲、CFA教研 · 2018年04月14日

补充一下:A Patel 咨询比他投资知识更强的人,会听取他们的建议所以有从众心理;B Patel如果知道投资委员会有人支持他的观点,他的风险容忍度会提高,所以他有confirmation bias。

赌徒心理是错误的认为长期结果会均值复归,比如一个股票跌了一段时间,有人会觉得之后肯定会涨回来就买入。Patel显然是没有这种心理的。

石头鱼170 · 2018年04月14日

问题问的是“这个人的行为没有体现哪一项偏差”,正是由于这个人没有赌徒心理,所以应该选C呀?

Shimin_CPA税法主讲、CFA教研 · 2018年04月11日

这道题李老师的课后题讲过,出的不好,不用太纠结,C这个偏差肯定是没有的。

Shimin_CPA税法主讲、CFA教研 · 2018年04月10日

题干中fail to recognize,意思是不能识别出。这个人没有赌徒心理的,A和B的偏差是有的。

石头鱼170 · 2018年04月10日

那正确答案应该是C咯?

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NO.PZ201511190100000406问题如下 Patel’s comment in his risk toleranquestionnaire regarng the Private Wealth Investment Committee fails to recognize whibias?A.Sociproof.B.Confirmation bias.C.Gambler’s fallacy.A is correct.Sociproof is a belief in whiinvials are biaseto follow the beliefs of a group. The structure of Garnier’s Private Wealth Investment Committee incates ththey msusceptible to a sociproof bias. The committee meets to scuss anbate easecurity anthen votes on whiwill approve Committee members mwrongly favor the jument of others, often without being fully aware ththey are ing so. The process of reaching a consensus will usually narrow the range of views. If a group cision process es not encourage private information helinvicommittee members to sharefully with others before a cision is ma, the cision mfail to combine the collective wism of the group. There is no evinththis committee encourages private information.备注这道题出的不太好,原版书给的答案A。Patel“一旦知道investment committee支持了某项投资,他的风险容忍程度会显著提高”,这句话既反映的是confirmation bias。sociproof和herng是同义词,羊群效应,是一种从众的行为。Gambler's fallacy是赌徒谬误,比如连续五次抛出硬币的正面,认为第六次抛出硬币反面的概率非常高,但事实上,抛出反面的概率仍为50%,Patel没有这样的表现。不用纠结。解析是想说confirmation和sociproof和herng是同一个意思,还是后两者是同一个意思但和第一个无关?

2023-06-07 08:58 1 · 回答

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2023-05-01 14:29 2 · 回答

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2022-11-29 15:27 1 · 回答

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2022-08-26 13:42 1 · 回答

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2021-10-02 11:45 1 · 回答