NO.PZ2018062002000175
问题如下:
Peter,an analyst is evaluing company NIKKY, below he prepared a table of average of 12 months of P/E, price on cash flow (P/CF) and price on sales (P/S) from 2005 to 2008, .
As of 2009, the date of the valuation, the trailing 12 months, P/E, P/CF and P/S were 8.7, 8.0 and 2.3 respectively. According to the information provided, peter can reasonably conclude that NIKKY shares are most likely to be:
选项:
A.Overvalued.
B.fairly valued.
C.undervalued.
解释:
A is correct.
NIKKY's share price is most likely to be overvalued.As the table below shows, all the2009 multiples are currently above their 2005 –2008 average
Average 7.13 7.38 1.7
考点:Price Multiple Approach
当判断股票估值是否合理时,我们除了把目标公司和它的可比公司进行比较外,目标公司和自己历史上的平均表现作对比也是非常常见的比较方法(就像这道题)。在乘数法中,我们选择的benchmark通常有三个:可比公司、自己或行业平均。
通常我们认为自己和自己比较时,历史平均可以反映正常的估值水平,题目给出了05-08年公司自己的历史上四年的数据,我们为了平滑数据,所以要取平均。得到的平均数再和09年数据作对比,分析师预测2009年的估值倍数是 8.7, 8.0 and 2.3,高于了历史平均水平,因此是“most likely” overvalued。
求问老师这道题答案在讲义哪里讲到啊?求历史平均和现阶段估值比较?